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This example shows everything that's wrong with Polymarket resolutions right now: > Chances of Trump visiting Germany at ~20 cents > Obscure news site posts that Air Force One is "refueling in Germany" at Ramstein US army base > Market pumps, gets immediately proposed to "yes" > Market resolves to "yes" without dispute Neither on the Polymarket website nor on the UMA oracle website is any link to the primary source material (video, or similar) that proves that Trump was in Germany. Since we don't have sources attached, we don't even KNOW if the obscure news site video was used as proof or if other evidence exists online. (It took me one hour to find a flight tracker that doesn't block AF1, and verify there.) The market rules require evidence via "a consensus of credible reporting", which is nowhere to be found here. The whole resolution mechanism is intransparent. Proposal: Everyone who proposes a market resolution via UMA has to attach a set of URLs that they see as supporting evidence. In case of resolution, Polymarket adds these links to the market page, to allow everyone to see what the resolution was based on. Otherwise markets resolved via "evidence of credible reporting" will always be a sh*t show.

Hard to overstate how big of a deal this is for the Bitpanda ecosystem: • A fully new, standalone mobile app • Foundational pillar for future web3 products • Over one year in the making (and this is only the beginning!) Incredibly excited. See you on August 19.

follow me to see if you can change your life in 6 months

Polymarket users unaffected

defi yields are pumping to levels otherwise only seen in ponzis. thank you traders for rewarding long term savers. 🫶

How small traders can make risk-free 20% in one day on Polymarket: Whales are locked out of this one. As small traders, we are playing in our own league. We have opportunities that big fish with a 6 figure bank roll can't access. My favorite one is newly launched markets: Since all Polymarkets have an expiration date, the team regularly adds new markets for outcomes expiring soon. "World's richest person in 2025?" is expiring in one month. Yesterday the team added the same market, but for 2026. In the first few days, these markets have very low volume and liquidity. That's why they are not worth touching for whales: On a $100k bankroll, it's not worth playing on a market with $10k total volume. And here's where little fish can cash in: The spreads on these markets are huge - sometimes up to 20 cents difference between buying a "Yes" and "No" share for the same outcome. By placing limit orders and selling shares to greedy buyers, we can pocket this huge spread. Here's my step-by-step playbook for this: Step 1: Find market with <$10k volume, and >10¢ spead, usually newly launched. Step 2: Split shares In the Polymarket order mask, select "more" and "split". This let's you split 1 USDC into 1 YES and 1 NO share of the market. Step 3: Decide on which limit orders to place Usually you have one position that you are more comfortable holding. In my case: > I believe that Elon Musk will continue being the world's richest person. > That's why I'm happy holding "YES" shares. > Therefore I would sell my "YES" shares only at the very high price of 95¢. On the other hand, I want to get rid of my "NO" shares: I offered them on the market for 25¢. Note: The sum of your "YES" and "NO" limit orders should always be >100¢. This is the profit you pocket. My "NO" limit order got filled, so I now hold "YES" shares that I effectively acquired for 75¢: > 1 USDC for getting both shares > minus the 25¢ I got for selling "NO" shares Step 4: Wait until the market gains liquidity and volume, then offload to lock in the profit. Once the 2025 market resolves, people will start trading the 2026 market. The market will get more efficient, and I'll be able to offload my shares at fair value (>75¢) and lock in the profit. Use this trick while you can, because once your bankroll grows, it won't be possible anymore.

follow me to see if you can change your life in 6 months

This example shows everything that's wrong with Polymarket resolutions right now: > Chances of Trump visiting Germany at ~20 cents > Obscure news site posts that Air Force One is "refueling in Germany" at Ramstein US army base > Market pumps, gets immediately proposed to "yes" > Market resolves to "yes" without dispute Neither on the Polymarket website nor on the UMA oracle website is any link to the primary source material (video, or similar) that proves that Trump was in Germany. Since we don't have sources attached, we don't even KNOW if the obscure news site video was used as proof or if other evidence exists online. (It took me one hour to find a flight tracker that doesn't block AF1, and verify there.) The market rules require evidence via "a consensus of credible reporting", which is nowhere to be found here. The whole resolution mechanism is intransparent. Proposal: Everyone who proposes a market resolution via UMA has to attach a set of URLs that they see as supporting evidence. In case of resolution, Polymarket adds these links to the market page, to allow everyone to see what the resolution was based on. Otherwise markets resolved via "evidence of credible reporting" will always be a sh*t show.

Polymarket users unaffected

How small traders can make risk-free 20% in one day on Polymarket: Whales are locked out of this one. As small traders, we are playing in our own league. We have opportunities that big fish with a 6 figure bank roll can't access. My favorite one is newly launched markets: Since all Polymarkets have an expiration date, the team regularly adds new markets for outcomes expiring soon. "World's richest person in 2025?" is expiring in one month. Yesterday the team added the same market, but for 2026. In the first few days, these markets have very low volume and liquidity. That's why they are not worth touching for whales: On a $100k bankroll, it's not worth playing on a market with $10k total volume. And here's where little fish can cash in: The spreads on these markets are huge - sometimes up to 20 cents difference between buying a "Yes" and "No" share for the same outcome. By placing limit orders and selling shares to greedy buyers, we can pocket this huge spread. Here's my step-by-step playbook for this: Step 1: Find market with <$10k volume, and >10¢ spead, usually newly launched. Step 2: Split shares In the Polymarket order mask, select "more" and "split". This let's you split 1 USDC into 1 YES and 1 NO share of the market. Step 3: Decide on which limit orders to place Usually you have one position that you are more comfortable holding. In my case: > I believe that Elon Musk will continue being the world's richest person. > That's why I'm happy holding "YES" shares. > Therefore I would sell my "YES" shares only at the very high price of 95¢. On the other hand, I want to get rid of my "NO" shares: I offered them on the market for 25¢. Note: The sum of your "YES" and "NO" limit orders should always be >100¢. This is the profit you pocket. My "NO" limit order got filled, so I now hold "YES" shares that I effectively acquired for 75¢: > 1 USDC for getting both shares > minus the 25¢ I got for selling "NO" shares Step 4: Wait until the market gains liquidity and volume, then offload to lock in the profit. Once the 2025 market resolves, people will start trading the 2026 market. The market will get more efficient, and I'll be able to offload my shares at fair value (>75¢) and lock in the profit. Use this trick while you can, because once your bankroll grows, it won't be possible anymore.

Hard to overstate how big of a deal this is for the Bitpanda ecosystem: • A fully new, standalone mobile app • Foundational pillar for future web3 products • Over one year in the making (and this is only the beginning!) Incredibly excited. See you on August 19.

defi yields are pumping to levels otherwise only seen in ponzis. thank you traders for rewarding long term savers. 🫶

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