Argona is a meticulous Polymarket trader who thrives on dissecting probabilities and debunking hype. With a keen eye for data and a disciplined approach, they educate their followers on the mechanics of market behavior and winning strategies. Their content merges sharp analytics with practical trading insights, making complex concepts accessible.
Argona’s obsession with probabilities is so strong, they probably have a spreadsheet tracking how likely their coffee is to spill before they even take a sip. If only their trades were as safe as their perfectly calculated but slightly nervous morning routine!
Argona’s biggest win is highlighting a Polymarket wallet with a 100% win rate and $15K profit on elections alone, proving that disciplined, early entry strategies backed by data can beat the market hype consistently.
Argona’s life purpose is to empower others to trade smarter by cultivating realism over optimism, helping people see past market noise to recognize true probabilities. They aim to foster a community grounded in disciplined, data-driven decision making rather than emotion-fueled speculation.
Argona believes that success in prediction markets comes from a deep understanding of probability and psychology rather than chasing hype. They value discipline, calm rationality, and evidence-backed strategies. They also trust that realistic, informed betting outperforms wishful thinking in the long run.
Their greatest strength lies in analytical rigor and the ability to translate complex market data into actionable insights, making them a trusted voice in the Polymarket community. They combine deep research with calm execution, which leads to consistent profitability.
A potential weakness is that their heavy reliance on data and probability might come across as overly cautious or pessimistic to some followers craving quick wins or bullish enthusiasm. Their niche focus on probability over hype may limit appeal to more casual or optimistic traders.
To grow their audience on X, Argona should blend their sharp analytics with more storytelling and relatable success moments—like their $200 to $1,000 challenge—to widen appeal. Engaging in trending crypto or prediction market debates and using popular hashtags sparingly can also boost visibility while maintaining credibility.
Fun fact: Argona points out that 79% of all Polymarket events resolve with a “No” outcome, highlighting their rare focus on realism in a hype-driven environment.
$1M profit. You can't ignore this.
his name - RN1
@RN1?via=argona">polymarket.com/@RN1?via=argona
active since december 2024
rank #58
joined december and already sitting at $1.09M profit
current stats:
→ total pnl: $1,089,011
→ win rate: 59.2%
→ biggest win: $50.2k
→ 7,088 predictions
most of the profit comes from sports and games
this bro knows something others don't
add him to copytrade sounds good
$1M profit. You can't ignore this.
his name - RN1
@RN1?via=argona">polymarket.com/@RN1?via=argona
active since december 2024
rank #58
joined december and already sitting at $1.09M profit
current stats:
→ total pnl: $1,089,011
→ win rate: 59.2%
→ biggest win: $50.2k
→ 7,088 predictions
most of the profit comes from sports and games
this bro knows something others don't
add him to copytrade sounds good
$200 → $1,000 Polymarket Challenge | Day 8
four nhl entries today
@Argona0x?via=argona">polymarket.com/@Argona0x?via=…
Kings vs Maple Leafs → $20 on Kings at $0.57 (potential return: $35.09)
Capitals vs Panthers → $15 on Capitals at $0.47 (potential return: $31.91)
Ducks vs Red Wings → $15 on Ducks at $0.42 (potential return: $35.71)
Stars vs Canadiens → $10 on Canadiens at $0.54 (potential return: $18.52)
bigger positions = higher conviction
the reasoning
kings momentum:
→ kuemper on a 5-game winning streak with 2.00 gaa and .929 save percentage in his last 5 starts
→ elite road team at 7-1-2 with defensive structure allowing just 2.4 goals per game
capitals dominance:
→ goalie thompson posting .934 save percentage this season, ranked top-5 in the nhl
→ capitals own this matchup historically with recent wins by 2-3 goal margins (6-3, 6-3, 4-1)
ducks rolling:
→ dostal ranked 6th in nhl with .913 save percentage and 8-4-1 record over his last 10
→ elite road team (6-3-1) scoring 3.9 goals per game, second in the league
canadiens value:
→ my analysis shows this is a true 50/50 game
→ whales and profitable traders are loading up on montreal, following the smart money here
with so many nhl markets available rn
im using this as a chance to sharpen my process
results soon
$200 → $1,000 Polymarket Challenge | Day 2
new position opened
Houston vs UCF (NCAA Football)
• $20 on Houston at $0.53 (potential return: $37)
polymarket.com/event/cfb-hou-…
$110 left in free balance
why houston
the fundamentals lean houston :
• 7-2 record vs ucf's 4-4
• balanced offense, fewer turnovers
• ucf just got destroyed 3-30 by baylor last week
• houston's defensive unit controls time of possession
the smart money is clear
• houston traders: Smart Score 6.89
• ucf traders: Smart Score -1.89
one whale caught my attention
$740K position on houston with 8.29 Smart Score
>$1M in PNL he only trades sports and wins consistently
im sticking to the strategy → fewest trades, highest conviction
daily updates continue
lets see if this one hits
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profit. 100% win-rate. Only elections.\n\nFound a Polymarket wallet named jeb2016\nPnL → +$15 189\nWin rate → 100%\nRank #3424\n\nThe strategy?\nHe only trades Presidential Elections - both US and global\nNo sports, no crypto, no noise\n\nThe pattern is clear →\n\nhe always enters early, catching new markets at 0.04-0.05 $\nthen rides the price discovery once the crowd realizes the narrative\n\nPnL shows it works - every position green\n\nMight be worth setting this one on copytrade\n\nyou don’t see many election hunters with perfect 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positions","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1563203158435803136","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1980686136201601524","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[53,121],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1806631073838747648","name":"dominatos","screen_name":"_dominatos","indices":[0,11]},{"id_str":"1965783030062022656","name":"Polymarket 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