Kyle the Writer is a savvy and active participant in Prediction Markets, offering insider insights into trending markets like Polymarket and DeFi. With over 21,000 tweets, Kyle shares strategic guides and market analysis, inviting others to join in experimental challenges. His content combines data-driven tips with a hands-on approach to decentralized finance and blockchain opportunities.
Kyle tweets so much insider info that even Elon Musk might start following him for stock tips — or at least to check if Kyle’s got a crystal ball stashed behind those markets. At this rate, Kyle’s keyboard might need a day off just to recover!
Kyle’s biggest win has been correctly predicting and capitalizing on insider plays in Polymarket, including a standout 6x return on the Elon Musk tweet prediction market, showcasing his expert timing and market understanding.
Kyle’s life purpose revolves around empowering a community of like-minded traders and enthusiasts to navigate emerging markets effectively. By demystifying complex prediction markets and sharing actionable strategies, he aims to build wealth and foster collective learning in the DeFi ecosystem.
Kyle believes in transparency, data-backed research, and the power of community knowledge. He values innovation and is optimistic about decentralized technologies as tools for financial opportunity and democratization of market insights. He trusts that consistent sharing and honest discourse can elevate everyone’s trading game.
Kyle’s strengths include his deep market knowledge, willingness to share detailed strategies, and active engagement that builds credibility and trust among followers. His ability to break down insider metrics and identify high-value trades gives him an authoritative voice within niche communities.
His heavy focus on insider strategies and complex data could overwhelm casual users, and the sheer volume of his tweets (over 21,000) might dilute key messages, risking follower burnout or missing engagement opportunities. Also, reliance on insider plays may attract skepticism about ethics or long-term sustainability.
To grow his audience on X, Kyle should curate key insights into a digestible weekly digest or visual thread to engage both newcomers and experts. Incorporating more interactive formats like AMA sessions or live prediction challenges could boost community interaction. Strategic use of hashtags tied to trending DeFi and crypto events will amplify reach beyond his current follower base.
Fun fact: Kyle once turned a modest market share investment into a 6x profit by timing his entry and exit perfectly during an Elon Musk tweet prediction market — a true polymarket money glitch master!
$50 to $5k challenge on Polymarket.
new trades, new markets, new strategy.
14days to succeed.
I decided to start a new chapter at my @Polymarket trading and I'd like you to join my 2week race.
rules:
- starting today with a $50 deposit.
- sharing daily prediction updates.
- no more than 10% of deposit at 1 market.
- no copying, just smooth and confident predictions.
todays markets:
I. YES 260-279 at 10¢ per share at Elon Musk # tweets oct17-oct24 market.
II. YES 280-299 at 38¢ per share at Elon Musk # tweets oct17-oct24 market.
III. YES at 21¢ per share at Will Maduro out in 2025 market.
IV. YES at 59¢ per share at Over $20M committed to Paystream market.
V. YES at 8.7¢ per share at Trump pardon SBF in 2025 market.
today's trades may seem not serious, but don't forget about compound interest, which will increase our profits each new day.
links on markets in replies.
token from Polymarket is not a secret now.
now your duty is to explore the ecosystem to become eligible.
93+1 apps and 12 categories.
the global library of Polymarket eco.
includes totally everything:
Trading Bots (19 apps)
@polyfactual - ai-powered platform blending PMs and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.
@betmoardotfun - Polymarket trading terminal offering powerful search, real time news, and unique market insights.
@pmx_trade - bot for seamless Polymarket trading, enabling mobile, social, and group trades from anywhere in the world.
@fliprbot - defi layer for PMs. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x
@polymtrade - mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai insights.
@tryokbet - terminal for trading on Polymarket. trade and copy top performers with your friends.
@standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when PM traders make high-conviction moves.
@predictifybot - fully on-chain aggregator for Polymarket and Solana PMs.
@fireplacegg - social news app powered by prediction markets. built on polymarket.
@tradefoxai - professional PM aggregator and prime brokerage platform backed by Alliance DAO and CMT Digital.
@ bankrbot - crypto ai agent with Polymarket integration, new ai-assisted crypto wallet on X + private terminal.
@ polyburg - real time intelligence terminal for tracking Polymarket profitable traders through smart wallet monitoring, ai-powered insights.
@ userocket_app - cutting edge PM aggregator designed to give you the edge in forecasting and market analysis.
@ polyswipe_app - tinder style PM app that simplifies trading on Polymarket through swiping gestures, featuring instant trading, multi-channel onboarding, and social features for mainstream adoption.
@ datalayerxyz - ai companion platform for onchain trading across memes, perps, yield farming, and PMs. powered by HL + Polymarket + Solana + BSC + Base.
@ predicton_tbot - trade politics, news, and sports directly in telegram, ton-native prediction market.
@ polyscopebot - wallet tracker and analytics bot providing real-time alerts, wallet profiling, and market insights for Polymarket and other PMs.
@ polyfocusbot - trading bot for Polymarket with integrated copy trading, multi-chain wallet management, and advanced market discovery features.
@ aixbet_ai - executes real trades on prediction markets like Polymarket using advanced ai models and smart money signals.
AI Agents (13 apps)
@polytraderai - ai-powered prediction market trading.
@trypolyagent - ai-powered assistant for Polymarket. search, analyze, and get predictions on events with natural language queries.
@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform leveraging collective intelligence and ensemble modeling to uncover persistent market patterns.
@askbillybets - autonomous ai agent analyzing data and top bettors to provide insights and autonomously place bets on blockchain.
@fractionai_xyz - first decentralized auto training platform for ai agents that compete, learn, and evolve through continuous reinforcement learning.
@predictionswap - ai-powered PM aggregator providing real time analysis, cross-platform odds, and actionable insights for smarter forecasting.
@ elastics_ai - ai-native, institutional operating system for automated, data driven trading with integrated portfolio and risk management.
@ polyprophet_com - chrome extension providing ai-powered real time predictions for Polymarket using multiple leading ai models and proprietary historical data analysis.
@ polybroapp - autonomous ai-powered Polymarket trading agent that conducts structured research across academic papers, news, and live data to generate evidence based predictions and trading signals.
@ polymarkettips - ai-powered sentiment analysis platform providing real time social media intelligence and trading recommendations for Polymarket markets.
@ jatevoid - deep research platform powered by 6-agent ai pipeline for prediction market analysis with Polymarket API integration.
@ isnow_ai - ai-powered Polymarket analysis platform with whale tracking, predictive modeling, and real time market intelligence.
@ polytaleai - ai Polymarket intelligence platform that operates as the first prediction market research ai agent on X, providing real time market insights and whale tracking.
Dashboards + Data (15 apps)
@sealaunch_ - Dune dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain. track top Polymarket markets, sentiment shifts, and conviction by 24h vol.
@parsec_finance - data analytics and insights for Polymarkets, helping users make informed decisions.
@polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.
@pizzintwatch - real time dashboard tracking activity and Polymarket signals for unique osint-based market insight.
@alexmccullaaa - dune dashboard analyzing Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, bias, and outcome distributions across different timeframes and price buckets.
@ tokenterminal - full stack onchain data platform standardizing financial metrics for blockchains and dApps using traditional finance KPIs and frameworks.
@ mobyagent - live feed tracking top Polymarket traders’ buys and sells in real time for actionable PM insights.
@ filippoarman - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics, user activity, volume trends, and market insights by data analyst filippo armani.
@ dune - comprehensive Dune dashboard tracking volume, open interest, users, and trends across Polymarket and other PMs.
@ defillama - largest defi data aggregator providing comprehensive analytics across tvl, volume, fees, revenue, and governance for 6,000+ protocols on 400+ blockchains.
@ monitor_labs - institutional grade dashboard for live orderbooks and cross-market price comparison on Polymarket.
@ tremorsh - real time seismic monitor for PMs. detects the movement, surfacing market earthquakes before they become mainstream news.
@ fergmolina - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard providing on-chain data visualization and analysis for Polymarket, and user activity using gamma API integration.
@ metaforecast - meta search engine and aggregator for finding, presenting, and sharing forecasts and probability estimates from multiple prediction markets and forecasting platforms.
@ kucoinventures - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking automated trading bot activity and market share across major Polymarket trading platforms.
Analytics Tools (18 apps)
@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.
@polymtrade - the first mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai-powered insights.
@nevuamarkets - live watchlists with real-time alerts. instant updates on telegram, discord, or browser.
@arbbets20 - ai-driven platform identifying arbitrage and positive expected value opportunities across Polymarket and others.
@rainmakerdotfun - ai agent-powered terminal unifying arbitrage, copy-trading, and analytics for Polymarket featuring the cloud9 agentic terminal.
@polysimplr - user friendly Polymarket interface with ai-powered chat and analysis.
@predictingtop - real time PM leaderboard tracking platformthat displays top traders' daily performance, wallet addresses, and pnl data across prediction market platforms.
@mentionmarkets - advanced transcript search and analysis tool for PMs, tracking specific word mentions across political, corporate, and federal reserve transcripts.
@ dexteronchain - professional trader analytics and real-time monitoring tool for Polymarket, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.
@ pricediction - ai-powered PM toolkit for deep research, automatic analysis, and direct trading on Polymarket.
@ hellobetterai - multi-model ai-driven prediction platform delivering explainable insights for Polymarket.
@ prediedge - real time analytics and whale tracking platform for Polymarket, spotlighting large trades, insider activity, and market signals.
@ areebkhan280 - free tool for calculating and alerting cross platform arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets like Polymarket and others.
@ wethrnet - advanced real time weather analytics platform optimized for Polymarket climate and temperature traders.
@ markiumpro - comprehensive data analytics and trading platform for PMs that provides market aggregation, wallet analytics, leaderboards, and watchlist alerts across Polymarket.
@ eventwavesio - Polymarket analytics platform for quickly identifying high edge markets using trader skill analysis and momentum tracking.
@ futuredotfun - ai-powered PM terminal featuring the scouter analytics tool with proprietary edge score rankings for Polymarket traders.
Portfolio Tracking (3 apps)
@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, markets, positions, and trades.
@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.
@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.
DeFi (7 apps)
@fliprbot - the defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.
@ostiumlabs - the first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.
@auradotmoney - trade everything: sports, politics, crypto perps, rwa perps, etc. powered by Polymarket + HL.
@gondorfi - defi protocol for borrowing against Polymarket positions, unlocking liquidity without closing trades.
@robinmarketsxyz - yield-bearing PM platform enabling users to earn defi yields on Polymarket positions through automated capital deployment and delta-neutral strategies.
@ hyperoddx - leveraged PM platform offering up to 20x leverage on politics, sports, crypto, and stocks.
@ narrativexyz - perpetual information markets platform offering continuous trading on evolving narratives with live news integration.
Alerts (5 apps)
@polyalerthub - real time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends. alerts straight to email or telegram.
@alerts_chat - telegram-native app providing customizable real-time alerts on price actions for Polymarket.
@bigbluebots - exclusive gated boutique solution providing advanced on-chain trading tools and Polymarket intelligence alerts for researchers and traders, limited to 150 members with invitation only access.
@ maxguruai - prediction market alpha signal aggregator that monitors Polymarket to provide timely alerts on new market creation, odds anomalies, large transactions, and insider wallet activities.
@ standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when prediction market traders make high-conviction moves.
Funds (2 apps)
@polyfund - decentralized platform that enables skilled predictors to manage funds and investors to benefit from their expertise on Polymarket.
@ICE_Markets - invested 2 billion in the Polymarket at a valuation of 2 billion. NYSE parent company. ICE and Polymarket also agreed to partner on future tokenization initiatives.
APIs (5 apps)
@adjacentnews - forward looking news platform delivering PM-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.
@forcazt_xyz - ai-powered PM analytics and aggregator for discovering high-alpha markets, arbitrage, and data-driven edge.
@getdomeapi - developer infrastructure platform providing unified APIs and SDKs for accessing real-time and historical prediction market data across multiple platforms.
@ goldskyio - blockchain data infrastructure powering Polymarket's real time PM data processing and onchain-offchain integration.
@ clickhousedb - open-source, columnar OLAP database delivering blazing-fast analytics for large-scale, real-time data across multiple industries.
News + Educational Resources (7 apps)
@polynoob_ - beginner-friendly encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies, trader insights, and educational content.
@prophet_notes - expert-backed prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.
@polymarketinfo - newsletter and podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest PM.
@PredictionNews_ - comprehensive news, analysis, and data driven insights covering the growing prediction market industry.
@ stocktwits - world's largest social media platform for traders and investors with 10+ million users, featuring real time market discussions and integrated PM probabilities.
@ _boringnews - ai-powered daily news show that uses Polymarket PM odds as the foundation for unbiased, data driven news delivery across YT, X, and podcast platforms.
@ deepnewzcom - ai-powered news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real time prediction market odds for every news.
I've done a huge work while researching all Polymarket ecosystem.
I've experiensed each tool on myself and chose the best ones.
use this library as you wish, and if you need a closer look on each category - lmk in dms/replies.
just use and build on @Polymarket.
Polymarket has the largest eco in prediction markets niche.
116 apps and 18 categories.
here's a primary library of top-rated tools that can help you to succeed in predictions:
AI agents (S+ Tier)
@polyfactual - ai-powered platform blending prediction markets and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.
@polytraderAI - enhances Polymarket trading by integrating.
@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform.
@polysimplr - user-friendly Polymarket interface with AI-powered chat and analysis.
Trading bots
@betmoardotfun - web-based Polymarket trading terminal offering powerful search, real-time news, and unique market insights.
@pmx_trade - telegram bot for seamless Polymarket trading, enabling mobile, social, and group trades from anywhere in the world.
Analytics Tools
@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.
@Polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.
@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, positions, and trades.
Track your Portfolio
@PredictFolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance.
@DexterOnchain - professional trader analytics, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.
DeFi
@fliprbot - defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.
@OstiumLabs - first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.
@auradotmoney - powered by Polymarket, Hyperliquid.
Alerts
@NevuaMarkets - watchlists with real-time alerts.
@PolyAlertHub - real-time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends.
@StandDOTtrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales.
Data
@sealaunch_ - dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain.
@filippoarman - Dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics.
@artemis - institutional-grade analytics on Polymarket, tracking spot volume, open interest, active users.
Educational
@Polynoob_ - encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies and trader insights.
@prophet_notes - prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.
@polymarketinfo - podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest prediction market.
News
@AdjacentNews - news platform delivering prediction market-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.
@deepnewzcom - news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real-time prediction market odds for every news.
just use @Polymarket.
$50 to $5k challenge on Polymarket.
new trades, new markets, new strategy.
14days to succeed.
I decided to start a new chapter at my @Polymarket trading and I'd like you to join my 2week race.
rules:
- starting today with a $50 deposit.
- sharing daily prediction updates.
- no more than 10% of deposit at 1 market.
- no copying, just smooth and confident predictions.
todays markets:
I. YES 260-279 at 10¢ per share at Elon Musk # tweets oct17-oct24 market.
II. YES 280-299 at 38¢ per share at Elon Musk # tweets oct17-oct24 market.
III. YES at 21¢ per share at Will Maduro out in 2025 market.
IV. YES at 59¢ per share at Over $20M committed to Paystream market.
V. YES at 8.7¢ per share at Trump pardon SBF in 2025 market.
today's trades may seem not serious, but don't forget about compound interest, which will increase our profits each new day.
links on markets in replies.
token from Polymarket is not a secret now.
now your duty is to explore the ecosystem to become eligible.
93+1 apps and 12 categories.
the global library of Polymarket eco.
includes totally everything:
Trading Bots (19 apps)
@polyfactual - ai-powered platform blending PMs and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.
@betmoardotfun - Polymarket trading terminal offering powerful search, real time news, and unique market insights.
@pmx_trade - bot for seamless Polymarket trading, enabling mobile, social, and group trades from anywhere in the world.
@fliprbot - defi layer for PMs. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x
@polymtrade - mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai insights.
@tryokbet - terminal for trading on Polymarket. trade and copy top performers with your friends.
@standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when PM traders make high-conviction moves.
@predictifybot - fully on-chain aggregator for Polymarket and Solana PMs.
@fireplacegg - social news app powered by prediction markets. built on polymarket.
@tradefoxai - professional PM aggregator and prime brokerage platform backed by Alliance DAO and CMT Digital.
@ bankrbot - crypto ai agent with Polymarket integration, new ai-assisted crypto wallet on X + private terminal.
@ polyburg - real time intelligence terminal for tracking Polymarket profitable traders through smart wallet monitoring, ai-powered insights.
@ userocket_app - cutting edge PM aggregator designed to give you the edge in forecasting and market analysis.
@ polyswipe_app - tinder style PM app that simplifies trading on Polymarket through swiping gestures, featuring instant trading, multi-channel onboarding, and social features for mainstream adoption.
@ datalayerxyz - ai companion platform for onchain trading across memes, perps, yield farming, and PMs. powered by HL + Polymarket + Solana + BSC + Base.
@ predicton_tbot - trade politics, news, and sports directly in telegram, ton-native prediction market.
@ polyscopebot - wallet tracker and analytics bot providing real-time alerts, wallet profiling, and market insights for Polymarket and other PMs.
@ polyfocusbot - trading bot for Polymarket with integrated copy trading, multi-chain wallet management, and advanced market discovery features.
@ aixbet_ai - executes real trades on prediction markets like Polymarket using advanced ai models and smart money signals.
AI Agents (13 apps)
@polytraderai - ai-powered prediction market trading.
@trypolyagent - ai-powered assistant for Polymarket. search, analyze, and get predictions on events with natural language queries.
@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform leveraging collective intelligence and ensemble modeling to uncover persistent market patterns.
@askbillybets - autonomous ai agent analyzing data and top bettors to provide insights and autonomously place bets on blockchain.
@fractionai_xyz - first decentralized auto training platform for ai agents that compete, learn, and evolve through continuous reinforcement learning.
@predictionswap - ai-powered PM aggregator providing real time analysis, cross-platform odds, and actionable insights for smarter forecasting.
@ elastics_ai - ai-native, institutional operating system for automated, data driven trading with integrated portfolio and risk management.
@ polyprophet_com - chrome extension providing ai-powered real time predictions for Polymarket using multiple leading ai models and proprietary historical data analysis.
@ polybroapp - autonomous ai-powered Polymarket trading agent that conducts structured research across academic papers, news, and live data to generate evidence based predictions and trading signals.
@ polymarkettips - ai-powered sentiment analysis platform providing real time social media intelligence and trading recommendations for Polymarket markets.
@ jatevoid - deep research platform powered by 6-agent ai pipeline for prediction market analysis with Polymarket API integration.
@ isnow_ai - ai-powered Polymarket analysis platform with whale tracking, predictive modeling, and real time market intelligence.
@ polytaleai - ai Polymarket intelligence platform that operates as the first prediction market research ai agent on X, providing real time market insights and whale tracking.
Dashboards + Data (15 apps)
@sealaunch_ - Dune dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain. track top Polymarket markets, sentiment shifts, and conviction by 24h vol.
@parsec_finance - data analytics and insights for Polymarkets, helping users make informed decisions.
@polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.
@pizzintwatch - real time dashboard tracking activity and Polymarket signals for unique osint-based market insight.
@alexmccullaaa - dune dashboard analyzing Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, bias, and outcome distributions across different timeframes and price buckets.
@ tokenterminal - full stack onchain data platform standardizing financial metrics for blockchains and dApps using traditional finance KPIs and frameworks.
@ mobyagent - live feed tracking top Polymarket traders’ buys and sells in real time for actionable PM insights.
@ filippoarman - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics, user activity, volume trends, and market insights by data analyst filippo armani.
@ dune - comprehensive Dune dashboard tracking volume, open interest, users, and trends across Polymarket and other PMs.
@ defillama - largest defi data aggregator providing comprehensive analytics across tvl, volume, fees, revenue, and governance for 6,000+ protocols on 400+ blockchains.
@ monitor_labs - institutional grade dashboard for live orderbooks and cross-market price comparison on Polymarket.
@ tremorsh - real time seismic monitor for PMs. detects the movement, surfacing market earthquakes before they become mainstream news.
@ fergmolina - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard providing on-chain data visualization and analysis for Polymarket, and user activity using gamma API integration.
@ metaforecast - meta search engine and aggregator for finding, presenting, and sharing forecasts and probability estimates from multiple prediction markets and forecasting platforms.
@ kucoinventures - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking automated trading bot activity and market share across major Polymarket trading platforms.
Analytics Tools (18 apps)
@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.
@polymtrade - the first mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai-powered insights.
@nevuamarkets - live watchlists with real-time alerts. instant updates on telegram, discord, or browser.
@arbbets20 - ai-driven platform identifying arbitrage and positive expected value opportunities across Polymarket and others.
@rainmakerdotfun - ai agent-powered terminal unifying arbitrage, copy-trading, and analytics for Polymarket featuring the cloud9 agentic terminal.
@polysimplr - user friendly Polymarket interface with ai-powered chat and analysis.
@predictingtop - real time PM leaderboard tracking platformthat displays top traders' daily performance, wallet addresses, and pnl data across prediction market platforms.
@mentionmarkets - advanced transcript search and analysis tool for PMs, tracking specific word mentions across political, corporate, and federal reserve transcripts.
@ dexteronchain - professional trader analytics and real-time monitoring tool for Polymarket, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.
@ pricediction - ai-powered PM toolkit for deep research, automatic analysis, and direct trading on Polymarket.
@ hellobetterai - multi-model ai-driven prediction platform delivering explainable insights for Polymarket.
@ prediedge - real time analytics and whale tracking platform for Polymarket, spotlighting large trades, insider activity, and market signals.
@ areebkhan280 - free tool for calculating and alerting cross platform arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets like Polymarket and others.
@ wethrnet - advanced real time weather analytics platform optimized for Polymarket climate and temperature traders.
@ markiumpro - comprehensive data analytics and trading platform for PMs that provides market aggregation, wallet analytics, leaderboards, and watchlist alerts across Polymarket.
@ eventwavesio - Polymarket analytics platform for quickly identifying high edge markets using trader skill analysis and momentum tracking.
@ futuredotfun - ai-powered PM terminal featuring the scouter analytics tool with proprietary edge score rankings for Polymarket traders.
Portfolio Tracking (3 apps)
@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, markets, positions, and trades.
@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.
@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.
DeFi (7 apps)
@fliprbot - the defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.
@ostiumlabs - the first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.
@auradotmoney - trade everything: sports, politics, crypto perps, rwa perps, etc. powered by Polymarket + HL.
@gondorfi - defi protocol for borrowing against Polymarket positions, unlocking liquidity without closing trades.
@robinmarketsxyz - yield-bearing PM platform enabling users to earn defi yields on Polymarket positions through automated capital deployment and delta-neutral strategies.
@ hyperoddx - leveraged PM platform offering up to 20x leverage on politics, sports, crypto, and stocks.
@ narrativexyz - perpetual information markets platform offering continuous trading on evolving narratives with live news integration.
Alerts (5 apps)
@polyalerthub - real time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends. alerts straight to email or telegram.
@alerts_chat - telegram-native app providing customizable real-time alerts on price actions for Polymarket.
@bigbluebots - exclusive gated boutique solution providing advanced on-chain trading tools and Polymarket intelligence alerts for researchers and traders, limited to 150 members with invitation only access.
@ maxguruai - prediction market alpha signal aggregator that monitors Polymarket to provide timely alerts on new market creation, odds anomalies, large transactions, and insider wallet activities.
@ standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when prediction market traders make high-conviction moves.
Funds (2 apps)
@polyfund - decentralized platform that enables skilled predictors to manage funds and investors to benefit from their expertise on Polymarket.
@ICE_Markets - invested 2 billion in the Polymarket at a valuation of 2 billion. NYSE parent company. ICE and Polymarket also agreed to partner on future tokenization initiatives.
APIs (5 apps)
@adjacentnews - forward looking news platform delivering PM-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.
@forcazt_xyz - ai-powered PM analytics and aggregator for discovering high-alpha markets, arbitrage, and data-driven edge.
@getdomeapi - developer infrastructure platform providing unified APIs and SDKs for accessing real-time and historical prediction market data across multiple platforms.
@ goldskyio - blockchain data infrastructure powering Polymarket's real time PM data processing and onchain-offchain integration.
@ clickhousedb - open-source, columnar OLAP database delivering blazing-fast analytics for large-scale, real-time data across multiple industries.
News + Educational Resources (7 apps)
@polynoob_ - beginner-friendly encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies, trader insights, and educational content.
@prophet_notes - expert-backed prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.
@polymarketinfo - newsletter and podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest PM.
@PredictionNews_ - comprehensive news, analysis, and data driven insights covering the growing prediction market industry.
@ stocktwits - world's largest social media platform for traders and investors with 10+ million users, featuring real time market discussions and integrated PM probabilities.
@ _boringnews - ai-powered daily news show that uses Polymarket PM odds as the foundation for unbiased, data driven news delivery across YT, X, and podcast platforms.
@ deepnewzcom - ai-powered news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real time prediction market odds for every news.
I've done a huge work while researching all Polymarket ecosystem.
I've experiensed each tool on myself and chose the best ones.
use this library as you wish, and if you need a closer look on each category - lmk in dms/replies.
just use and build on @Polymarket.
Polymarket has the largest eco in prediction markets niche.
116 apps and 18 categories.
here's a primary library of top-rated tools that can help you to succeed in predictions:
AI agents (S+ Tier)
@polyfactual - ai-powered platform blending prediction markets and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.
@polytraderAI - enhances Polymarket trading by integrating.
@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform.
@polysimplr - user-friendly Polymarket interface with AI-powered chat and analysis.
Trading bots
@betmoardotfun - web-based Polymarket trading terminal offering powerful search, real-time news, and unique market insights.
@pmx_trade - telegram bot for seamless Polymarket trading, enabling mobile, social, and group trades from anywhere in the world.
Analytics Tools
@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.
@Polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.
@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, positions, and trades.
Track your Portfolio
@PredictFolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance.
@DexterOnchain - professional trader analytics, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.
DeFi
@fliprbot - defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.
@OstiumLabs - first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.
@auradotmoney - powered by Polymarket, Hyperliquid.
Alerts
@NevuaMarkets - watchlists with real-time alerts.
@PolyAlertHub - real-time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends.
@StandDOTtrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales.
Data
@sealaunch_ - dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain.
@filippoarman - Dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics.
@artemis - institutional-grade analytics on Polymarket, tracking spot volume, open interest, active users.
Educational
@Polynoob_ - encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies and trader insights.
@prophet_notes - prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.
@polymarketinfo - podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest prediction market.
News
@AdjacentNews - news platform delivering prediction market-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.
@deepnewzcom - news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real-time prediction market odds for every news.
just use @Polymarket.
how to earn from Polymarket eco?
as I tweeted yesterday - there's a large ecosystem we have already in the PM niche.
and here's practice examples how to use it:
Primary Tools (A-Tier)
if you're newbie to prediction markets and you don't want to gamble (but to earn), then you have to get acknowledge with all micro techniques.
@PolymarketGuide - tool built for Polymarket study (also usable for other pms), where you can find knowledge base explaining Polymarket experience.
@PredictionNews_ - web driven newsletter including analysis and data-driven insights covering the pm industry.
@PredictFolio - track your portfolio and positions. analyse, compare chances. free to use.
@poly_data - platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, markets and positions. all in one tool.
Advanced Experience (S-Tier)
tools that can make your prediction experience more autonomic and optimize the routine. must have for those who already learned the techs.
@nevuamarkets - when it comes hard to research for new opportunities on Polymarket, here comes alert watchlist. you can link your telegram or discord and get alerts directly in dm.
@polyfactual - advanced users just need to use ai. ai-powered platform blending prediction markets and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.
@berryinvesting - mobile app enabling users to trade prediction markets and stocks. use only if you're familiar with stocks, etf. made for US region.
PM Expert Mode (SSS-Tier)
now, when you earned some figures from pms you're ready to explore hidden tools and take some risks.
@rainmakerdotfun - ai agent unifying arbitrage, copy-trading, and analytics for Polymarket. get more info abt ghost opportunities.
@PredictionSwap - ai-powered market aggregator. it makes analysis on cross-platform odds and actionable insights. just "take the money" tool.
@goldskyio - blockchain data infrastructure powering Polymarket's real-time prediction market data processing and on(off)chain integration. use if you're tech geek.
TL;DR
you just discovered 3-level iceberg on Polymarket experience.
I think it's kinda usable for beginners and for experienced pm enjoyers as well.
just use @Polymarket.
I'd like to see what level are you at ↓
day4 of $50 to $5k Polymarket challenge.
current balance: $145
fixed some positions, here's new:
Netherlands + NYC Mayoral Election markets.
info from top Polymarket trader @satoshiancap.
whales rigging the election in the netherlands just like they did at NYC election.
these markets are psyop by parties to install the candidate they want, not a community. Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.
this is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.
NO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.
the same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).
Maduro out in 2025 market.
trader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.
market odds are 25% for YES.
holding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.
TIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.
majority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.
TIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).
2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.
NO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.
MegaETH Public Sale market.
raised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority of big entries to public sales in last hours is saving.
even when megaeth sale is not as simple as it could.
YES at 63¢ >$1.2b. more info in previous tweets.
markets closed:
will russia capture kupiansk by 31oct (33¢→99¢).
Microsoft the second most valuable company (43¢→71¢).
Elon Tweets Count. no profits here. removed and placed some new.
trying to accumulate more liquidity to less number of markets.
quality > quantity.
market links below in replies.
Build Personal Brands on LinkedIn and Twitter for busy Founders and CEOs | Develop frontend solutions and pioneer Al innovations | DM For Collaboration.
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He trusts that consistent sharing and honest discourse can elevate everyone’s trading game.","facts":"Fun fact: Kyle once turned a modest market share investment into a 6x profit by timing his entry and exit perfectly during an Elon Musk tweet prediction market — a true polymarket money glitch master!","strength":"Kyle’s strengths include his deep market knowledge, willingness to share detailed strategies, and active engagement that builds credibility and trust among followers. His ability to break down insider metrics and identify high-value trades gives him an authoritative voice within niche communities.","weakness":"His heavy focus on insider strategies and complex data could overwhelm casual users, and the sheer volume of his tweets (over 21,000) might dilute key messages, risking follower burnout or missing engagement opportunities. Also, reliance on insider plays may attract skepticism about ethics or long-term sustainability.","recommendation":"To grow his audience on X, Kyle should curate key insights into a digestible weekly digest or visual thread to engage both newcomers and experts. Incorporating more interactive formats like AMA sessions or live prediction challenges could boost community interaction. Strategic use of hashtags tied to trending DeFi and crypto events will amplify reach beyond his current follower base.","roast":"Kyle tweets so much insider info that even Elon Musk might start following him for stock tips — or at least to check if Kyle’s got a crystal ball stashed behind those markets. At this rate, Kyle’s keyboard might need a day off just to recover!","win":"Kyle’s biggest win has been correctly predicting and capitalizing on insider plays in Polymarket, including a standout 6x return on the Elon Musk tweet prediction market, showcasing his expert timing and market understanding."},"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/vyGuj4xYGN","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1979643662842917089/photo/1","id_str":"1979643538838069248","indices":[279,302],"media_key":"3_1979643538838069248","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G3kbT1pXIAAcfYb.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/vyGuj4xYGN","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":547,"w":1280,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":513,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":291,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":547,"width":1280,"focus_rects":[{"x":303,"y":0,"w":977,"h":547},{"x":717,"y":0,"w":547,"h":547},{"x":750,"y":0,"w":480,"h":547},{"x":853,"y":0,"w":274,"h":547},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1280,"h":547}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1979643538838069248"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/vyGuj4xYGN","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1979643662842917089/photo/1","id_str":"1979643538838069248","indices":[279,302],"media_key":"3_1979643538838069248","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G3kbT1pXIAAcfYb.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/vyGuj4xYGN","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":547,"w":1280,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":513,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":291,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":547,"width":1280,"focus_rects":[{"x":303,"y":0,"w":977,"h":547},{"x":717,"y":0,"w":547,"h":547},{"x":750,"y":0,"w":480,"h":547},{"x":853,"y":0,"w":274,"h":547},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1280,"h":547}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1979643538838069248"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1979643662842917089","view_count":59906,"bookmark_count":979,"created_at":1760818803000,"favorite_count":751,"quote_count":4,"reply_count":49,"retweet_count":41,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1979643662842917089","full_text":"infinity polymarket money glitch.\n\njust found a strategy to earn the easiest 5x+\n\nread how to:\n\nI. just a single market.\n\neach week Polymarket runs a market with predictions on the number Elon's tweets during a period. rn this's oct14-oct21.\n\nII. entry period\n\nas you can see on the chart - the less number is leading in the beginning of market.\n\nif you've caught a moment - pick the number it's obviously can climb in first half of the market. like 100-200 tweets.\n\nbut if you've entered the market later (just as me) - pick a higher. I bought 300-319 outcome shares.\n\nIII. exit period\n\nonce you got alerted that your prediction made a profit - fix. the statement of this kind of markets may be changed much frequently.\n\nmy position already gave me 6x (1¢ → 6¢) and I am out.\n\nIV. problems\n\nremember the fact that Elon just a person and his X activity may be bigger or lower day by day.\n\nofc if he's offline, the market will be changed into less tweets count side, and vice versa.\n\nalso, this market is lack of liquidity and big entries are not allowed in order to not move the shares price too much.\n\nnot a call to advice, I am just a little freak.\n\nshare your 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Testnet - Airdrop CONFIRMED [$70.0M] \n\n↳ Early Claim $7,100\n↳ $50.0M raised, Lead by Paradigm\n↳ Time: ~5 min\n\nI give you 5 min Guide, you give me follow 👇🧵 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to find Polymarket insider plays.\n\nthis tweet will be deleted in 24hrs.\n\nhere I broke down the criteria of avg insider buys.\n\nmy homies will be mad if it gets more views.\n\nso, read below ↓\n\nI. open Polymarket\n\npick the theme you're good at or you have the possibility to make quality research.\n\nII. forget it\n\nno any research can make a competition to insiders and their information.\n\nit's like trying to calculate a differential equation being 8 y.o schoolboy.\n\nIII. open any Polymarket dashboard/data ecosystem tool.\n\nI use @poly_sights\n\nclick \"insider finder\" and analyze the recent buys by stats described below:\n\nradar score - the higher it is, the higher trust this trader has.\n\nsize - I prefer not looking on the size, just cuz trader may perform a plenty of small trades to avoid being parsed or recognized as whale/insider.\n\ntimestamp - time from trade occurring. nothing special, but the shorter time - the earlier you're.\n\nvolume conc. - the volume percentage of this trade in comparison to total trader's volume.\n\nmarket pnl - live (un)realized pnl.\n\ntotal trades - lower count, higher interest .\n\nunique markets - count of markets trader participated in.\n\no.p. value - value of open positions.\n\ntotal pnl - all time trader's pnl on Polymarket.\n\nwc/tx - minutes between wallet creation and trade occurring. the lower % - the higher interest.\n\ntrade conc. - percentage count of this trade volume to total trader's volume.\n\nwallet age - the newer wallet, the higher interest.\n\nso, how can we seek for real insider plays?\n\nhere's the ideal example of trade:\n\n<1d wallet age + <3 total markets + >$10k size + >50% radar score + wc/tx <20% + timestamp <5hrs ago.\n\nsome criteria may not be included at exact trade you look at.\n\nand don't fall on 100% at this tweet, this is just my opinion and you always have to dyor.\n\nshare your thoughts.\n\nlink in my profile gives you $10 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from Polymarket is not a secret now.\n\nnow your duty is to explore the ecosystem to become eligible.\n\n93+1 apps and 12 categories.\n\nthe global library of Polymarket eco.\n\nincludes totally everything:\n\nTrading Bots (19 apps)\n\n@polyfactual - ai-powered platform blending PMs and social narratives to track and trade on event truthfulness.\n\n@betmoardotfun - Polymarket trading terminal offering powerful search, real time news, and unique market insights.\n\n@pmx_trade - bot for seamless Polymarket trading, enabling mobile, social, and group trades from anywhere in the world.\n\n@fliprbot - defi layer for PMs. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x\n\n@polymtrade - mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai insights.\n\n@tryokbet - terminal for trading on Polymarket. trade and copy top performers with your friends.\n\n@standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when PM traders make high-conviction moves.\n\n@predictifybot - fully on-chain aggregator for Polymarket and Solana PMs.\n\n@fireplacegg - social news app powered by prediction markets. built on polymarket.\n\n@tradefoxai - professional PM aggregator and prime brokerage platform backed by Alliance DAO and CMT Digital.\n\n@ bankrbot - crypto ai agent with Polymarket integration, new ai-assisted crypto wallet on X + private terminal.\n\n@ polyburg - real time intelligence terminal for tracking Polymarket profitable traders through smart wallet monitoring, ai-powered insights.\n\n@ userocket_app - cutting edge PM aggregator designed to give you the edge in forecasting and market analysis.\n\n@ polyswipe_app - tinder style PM app that simplifies trading on Polymarket through swiping gestures, featuring instant trading, multi-channel onboarding, and social features for mainstream adoption.\n\n@ datalayerxyz - ai companion platform for onchain trading across memes, perps, yield farming, and PMs. powered by HL + Polymarket + Solana + BSC + Base.\n\n@ predicton_tbot - trade politics, news, and sports directly in telegram, ton-native prediction market.\n\n@ polyscopebot - wallet tracker and analytics bot providing real-time alerts, wallet profiling, and market insights for Polymarket and other PMs.\n\n@ polyfocusbot - trading bot for Polymarket with integrated copy trading, multi-chain wallet management, and advanced market discovery features.\n\n@ aixbet_ai - executes real trades on prediction markets like Polymarket using advanced ai models and smart money signals.\n\nAI Agents (13 apps)\n\n@polytraderai - ai-powered prediction market trading.\n\n@trypolyagent - ai-powered assistant for Polymarket. search, analyze, and get predictions on events with natural language queries.\n\n@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform leveraging collective intelligence and ensemble modeling to uncover persistent market patterns.\n\n@askbillybets - autonomous ai agent analyzing data and top bettors to provide insights and autonomously place bets on blockchain.\n\n@fractionai_xyz - first decentralized auto training platform for ai agents that compete, learn, and evolve through continuous reinforcement learning.\n\n@predictionswap - ai-powered PM aggregator providing real time analysis, cross-platform odds, and actionable insights for smarter forecasting.\n\n@ elastics_ai - ai-native, institutional operating system for automated, data driven trading with integrated portfolio and risk management.\n\n@ polyprophet_com - chrome extension providing ai-powered real time predictions for Polymarket using multiple leading ai models and proprietary historical data analysis.\n\n@ polybroapp - autonomous ai-powered Polymarket trading agent that conducts structured research across academic papers, news, and live data to generate evidence based predictions and trading signals.\n\n@ polymarkettips - ai-powered sentiment analysis platform providing real time social media intelligence and trading recommendations for Polymarket markets.\n\n@ jatevoid - deep research platform powered by 6-agent ai pipeline for prediction market analysis with Polymarket API integration.\n\n@ isnow_ai - ai-powered Polymarket analysis platform with whale tracking, predictive modeling, and real time market intelligence.\n\n@ polytaleai - ai Polymarket intelligence platform that operates as the first prediction market research ai agent on X, providing real time market insights and whale tracking.\n\nDashboards + Data (15 apps)\n\n@sealaunch_ - Dune dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain. track top Polymarket markets, sentiment shifts, and conviction by 24h vol.\n\n@parsec_finance - data analytics and insights for Polymarkets, helping users make informed decisions.\n\n@polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.\n\n@pizzintwatch - real time dashboard tracking activity and Polymarket signals for unique osint-based market insight.\n\n@alexmccullaaa - dune dashboard analyzing Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, bias, and outcome distributions across different timeframes and price buckets.\n\n@ tokenterminal - full stack onchain data platform standardizing financial metrics for blockchains and dApps using traditional finance KPIs and frameworks.\n\n@ mobyagent - live feed tracking top Polymarket traders’ buys and sells in real time for actionable PM insights.\n\n@ filippoarman - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics, user activity, volume trends, and market insights by data analyst filippo armani.\n\n@ dune - comprehensive Dune dashboard tracking volume, open interest, users, and trends across Polymarket and other PMs.\n\n@ defillama - largest defi data aggregator providing comprehensive analytics across tvl, volume, fees, revenue, and governance for 6,000+ protocols on 400+ blockchains.\n\n@ monitor_labs - institutional grade dashboard for live orderbooks and cross-market price comparison on Polymarket.\n\n@ tremorsh - real time seismic monitor for PMs. detects the movement, surfacing market earthquakes before they become mainstream news.\n\n@ fergmolina - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard providing on-chain data visualization and analysis for Polymarket, and user activity using gamma API integration.\n\n@ metaforecast - meta search engine and aggregator for finding, presenting, and sharing forecasts and probability estimates from multiple prediction markets and forecasting platforms.\n\n@ kucoinventures - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking automated trading bot activity and market share across major Polymarket trading platforms.\n\nAnalytics Tools (18 apps)\n\n@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.\n\n@polymtrade - the first mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai-powered insights.\n\n@nevuamarkets - live watchlists with real-time alerts. instant updates on telegram, discord, or browser.\n\n@arbbets20 - ai-driven platform identifying arbitrage and positive expected value opportunities across Polymarket and others.\n\n@rainmakerdotfun - ai agent-powered terminal unifying arbitrage, copy-trading, and analytics for Polymarket featuring the cloud9 agentic terminal.\n\n@polysimplr - user friendly Polymarket interface with ai-powered chat and analysis.\n\n@predictingtop - real time PM leaderboard tracking platformthat displays top traders' daily performance, wallet addresses, and pnl data across prediction market platforms.\n\n@mentionmarkets - advanced transcript search and analysis tool for PMs, tracking specific word mentions across political, corporate, and federal reserve transcripts.\n\n@ dexteronchain - professional trader analytics and real-time monitoring tool for Polymarket, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.\n\n@ pricediction - ai-powered PM toolkit for deep research, automatic analysis, and direct trading on Polymarket.\n\n@ hellobetterai - multi-model ai-driven prediction platform delivering explainable insights for Polymarket.\n\n@ prediedge - real time analytics and whale tracking platform for Polymarket, spotlighting large trades, insider activity, and market signals.\n\n@ areebkhan280 - free tool for calculating and alerting cross platform arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets like Polymarket and others.\n\n@ wethrnet - advanced real time weather analytics platform optimized for Polymarket climate and temperature traders.\n\n@ markiumpro - comprehensive data analytics and trading platform for PMs that provides market aggregation, wallet analytics, leaderboards, and watchlist alerts across Polymarket.\n\n@ eventwavesio - Polymarket analytics platform for quickly identifying high edge markets using trader skill analysis and momentum tracking.\n\n@ futuredotfun - ai-powered PM terminal featuring the scouter analytics tool with proprietary edge score rankings for Polymarket traders.\n\nPortfolio Tracking (3 apps)\n\n@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, markets, positions, and trades.\n\n@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.\n\n@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.\n\nDeFi (7 apps)\n\n@fliprbot - the defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.\n\n@ostiumlabs - the first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.\n\n@auradotmoney - trade everything: sports, politics, crypto perps, rwa perps, etc. powered by Polymarket + HL.\n\n@gondorfi - defi protocol for borrowing against Polymarket positions, unlocking liquidity without closing trades.\n\n@robinmarketsxyz - yield-bearing PM platform enabling users to earn defi yields on Polymarket positions through automated capital deployment and delta-neutral strategies.\n\n@ hyperoddx - leveraged PM platform offering up to 20x leverage on politics, sports, crypto, and stocks.\n\n@ narrativexyz - perpetual information markets platform offering continuous trading on evolving narratives with live news integration.\n\nAlerts (5 apps)\n\n@polyalerthub - real time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends. alerts straight to email or telegram.\n\n@alerts_chat - telegram-native app providing customizable real-time alerts on price actions for Polymarket.\n\n@bigbluebots - exclusive gated boutique solution providing advanced on-chain trading tools and Polymarket intelligence alerts for researchers and traders, limited to 150 members with invitation only access.\n\n@ maxguruai - prediction market alpha signal aggregator that monitors Polymarket to provide timely alerts on new market creation, odds anomalies, large transactions, and insider wallet activities.\n\n@ standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when prediction market traders make high-conviction moves.\n\nFunds (2 apps)\n\n@polyfund - decentralized platform that enables skilled predictors to manage funds and investors to benefit from their expertise on Polymarket.\n\n@ICE_Markets - invested 2 billion in the Polymarket at a valuation of 2 billion. NYSE parent company. ICE and Polymarket also agreed to partner on future tokenization initiatives.\n\nAPIs (5 apps)\n\n@adjacentnews - forward looking news platform delivering PM-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.\n\n@forcazt_xyz - ai-powered PM analytics and aggregator for discovering high-alpha markets, arbitrage, and data-driven edge.\n\n@getdomeapi - developer infrastructure platform providing unified APIs and SDKs for accessing real-time and historical prediction market data across multiple platforms.\n\n@ goldskyio - blockchain data infrastructure powering Polymarket's real time PM data processing and onchain-offchain integration.\n\n@ clickhousedb - open-source, columnar OLAP database delivering blazing-fast analytics for large-scale, real-time data across multiple industries.\n\nNews + Educational Resources (7 apps)\n\n@polynoob_ - beginner-friendly encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies, trader insights, and educational content.\n\n@prophet_notes - expert-backed prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.\n\n@polymarketinfo - newsletter and podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest PM.\n\n@PredictionNews_ - comprehensive news, analysis, and data driven insights covering the growing prediction market industry.\n\n@ stocktwits - world's largest social media platform for traders and investors with 10+ million users, featuring real time market discussions and integrated PM probabilities.\n\n@ _boringnews - ai-powered daily news show that uses Polymarket PM odds as the foundation for unbiased, data driven news delivery across YT, X, and podcast platforms.\n\n@ deepnewzcom - ai-powered news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real time prediction market odds for every news.\n\nI've done a huge work while researching all Polymarket ecosystem.\n\nI've experiensed each tool on myself and chose the best ones.\n\nuse this library as you wish, and if you need a closer look on each category - lmk in dms/replies.\n\njust use and build on 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crypto ai agent with Polymarket integration, new ai-assisted crypto wallet on X + private terminal.\n\n@ polyburg - real time intelligence terminal for tracking Polymarket profitable traders through smart wallet monitoring, ai-powered insights.\n\n@ userocket_app - cutting edge PM aggregator designed to give you the edge in forecasting and market analysis.\n\n@ polyswipe_app - tinder style PM app that simplifies trading on Polymarket through swiping gestures, featuring instant trading, multi-channel onboarding, and social features for mainstream adoption.\n\n@ datalayerxyz - ai companion platform for onchain trading across memes, perps, yield farming, and PMs. powered by HL + Polymarket + Solana + BSC + Base.\n\n@ predicton_tbot - trade politics, news, and sports directly in telegram, ton-native prediction market.\n\n@ polyscopebot - wallet tracker and analytics bot providing real-time alerts, wallet profiling, and market insights for Polymarket and other PMs.\n\n@ polyfocusbot - trading bot for Polymarket with integrated copy trading, multi-chain wallet management, and advanced market discovery features.\n\n@ aixbet_ai - executes real trades on prediction markets like Polymarket using advanced ai models and smart money signals.\n\nAI Agents (13 apps)\n\n@polytraderai - ai-powered prediction market trading.\n\n@trypolyagent - ai-powered assistant for Polymarket. search, analyze, and get predictions on events with natural language queries.\n\n@sportstensor - decentralized ai-powered sports prediction platform leveraging collective intelligence and ensemble modeling to uncover persistent market patterns.\n\n@askbillybets - autonomous ai agent analyzing data and top bettors to provide insights and autonomously place bets on blockchain.\n\n@fractionai_xyz - first decentralized auto training platform for ai agents that compete, learn, and evolve through continuous reinforcement learning.\n\n@predictionswap - ai-powered PM aggregator providing real time analysis, cross-platform odds, and actionable insights for smarter forecasting.\n\n@ elastics_ai - ai-native, institutional operating system for automated, data driven trading with integrated portfolio and risk management.\n\n@ polyprophet_com - chrome extension providing ai-powered real time predictions for Polymarket using multiple leading ai models and proprietary historical data analysis.\n\n@ polybroapp - autonomous ai-powered Polymarket trading agent that conducts structured research across academic papers, news, and live data to generate evidence based predictions and trading signals.\n\n@ polymarkettips - ai-powered sentiment analysis platform providing real time social media intelligence and trading recommendations for Polymarket markets.\n\n@ jatevoid - deep research platform powered by 6-agent ai pipeline for prediction market analysis with Polymarket API integration.\n\n@ isnow_ai - ai-powered Polymarket analysis platform with whale tracking, predictive modeling, and real time market intelligence.\n\n@ polytaleai - ai Polymarket intelligence platform that operates as the first prediction market research ai agent on X, providing real time market insights and whale tracking.\n\nDashboards + Data (15 apps)\n\n@sealaunch_ - Dune dashboard visualizing the world’s real-time headlines onchain. track top Polymarket markets, sentiment shifts, and conviction by 24h vol.\n\n@parsec_finance - data analytics and insights for Polymarkets, helping users make informed decisions.\n\n@polysights - ai-powered Polymarket analytics with 30+ custom metrics, news insights, alerts, and ai-driven summaries.\n\n@pizzintwatch - real time dashboard tracking activity and Polymarket signals for unique osint-based market insight.\n\n@alexmccullaaa - dune dashboard analyzing Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, bias, and outcome distributions across different timeframes and price buckets.\n\n@ tokenterminal - full stack onchain data platform standardizing financial metrics for blockchains and dApps using traditional finance KPIs and frameworks.\n\n@ mobyagent - live feed tracking top Polymarket traders’ buys and sells in real time for actionable PM insights.\n\n@ filippoarman - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking Polymarket metrics, user activity, volume trends, and market insights by data analyst filippo armani.\n\n@ dune - comprehensive Dune dashboard tracking volume, open interest, users, and trends across Polymarket and other PMs.\n\n@ defillama - largest defi data aggregator providing comprehensive analytics across tvl, volume, fees, revenue, and governance for 6,000+ protocols on 400+ blockchains.\n\n@ monitor_labs - institutional grade dashboard for live orderbooks and cross-market price comparison on Polymarket.\n\n@ tremorsh - real time seismic monitor for PMs. detects the movement, surfacing market earthquakes before they become mainstream news.\n\n@ fergmolina - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard providing on-chain data visualization and analysis for Polymarket, and user activity using gamma API integration.\n\n@ metaforecast - meta search engine and aggregator for finding, presenting, and sharing forecasts and probability estimates from multiple prediction markets and forecasting platforms.\n\n@ kucoinventures - comprehensive dune analytics dashboard tracking automated trading bot activity and market share across major Polymarket trading platforms.\n\nAnalytics Tools (18 apps)\n\n@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.\n\n@polymtrade - the first mobile trading terminal for Polymarket with ai-powered insights.\n\n@nevuamarkets - live watchlists with real-time alerts. instant updates on telegram, discord, or browser.\n\n@arbbets20 - ai-driven platform identifying arbitrage and positive expected value opportunities across Polymarket and others.\n\n@rainmakerdotfun - ai agent-powered terminal unifying arbitrage, copy-trading, and analytics for Polymarket featuring the cloud9 agentic terminal.\n\n@polysimplr - user friendly Polymarket interface with ai-powered chat and analysis.\n\n@predictingtop - real time PM leaderboard tracking platformthat displays top traders' daily performance, wallet addresses, and pnl data across prediction market platforms.\n\n@mentionmarkets - advanced transcript search and analysis tool for PMs, tracking specific word mentions across political, corporate, and federal reserve transcripts.\n\n@ dexteronchain - professional trader analytics and real-time monitoring tool for Polymarket, specializing in smart money tracking and in-depth data analysis.\n\n@ pricediction - ai-powered PM toolkit for deep research, automatic analysis, and direct trading on Polymarket.\n\n@ hellobetterai - multi-model ai-driven prediction platform delivering explainable insights for Polymarket.\n\n@ prediedge - real time analytics and whale tracking platform for Polymarket, spotlighting large trades, insider activity, and market signals.\n\n@ areebkhan280 - free tool for calculating and alerting cross platform arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets like Polymarket and others.\n\n@ wethrnet - advanced real time weather analytics platform optimized for Polymarket climate and temperature traders.\n\n@ markiumpro - comprehensive data analytics and trading platform for PMs that provides market aggregation, wallet analytics, leaderboards, and watchlist alerts across Polymarket.\n\n@ eventwavesio - Polymarket analytics platform for quickly identifying high edge markets using trader skill analysis and momentum tracking.\n\n@ futuredotfun - ai-powered PM terminal featuring the scouter analytics tool with proprietary edge score rankings for Polymarket traders.\n\nPortfolio Tracking (3 apps)\n\n@poly_data - global analytics platform providing comprehensive data on Polymarket traders, markets, positions, and trades.\n\n@hash_dive - platform designed to provide advanced Polymarket analytics, with a special focus on smart scores.\n\n@predictfolio - free Polymarket trader analytics platform enabling users to analyze, compare, and track trading performance and statistics.\n\nDeFi (7 apps)\n\n@fliprbot - the defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x.\n\n@ostiumlabs - the first app for automating trading strategies on Polymarket data.\n\n@auradotmoney - trade everything: sports, politics, crypto perps, rwa perps, etc. powered by Polymarket + HL.\n\n@gondorfi - defi protocol for borrowing against Polymarket positions, unlocking liquidity without closing trades.\n\n@robinmarketsxyz - yield-bearing PM platform enabling users to earn defi yields on Polymarket positions through automated capital deployment and delta-neutral strategies.\n\n@ hyperoddx - leveraged PM platform offering up to 20x leverage on politics, sports, crypto, and stocks.\n\n@ narrativexyz - perpetual information markets platform offering continuous trading on evolving narratives with live news integration.\n\nAlerts (5 apps)\n\n@polyalerthub - real time alerts on profitable traders, whales, and market trends. alerts straight to email or telegram.\n\n@alerts_chat - telegram-native app providing customizable real-time alerts on price actions for Polymarket.\n\n@bigbluebots - exclusive gated boutique solution providing advanced on-chain trading tools and Polymarket intelligence alerts for researchers and traders, limited to 150 members with invitation only access.\n\n@ maxguruai - prediction market alpha signal aggregator that monitors Polymarket to provide timely alerts on new market creation, odds anomalies, large transactions, and insider wallet activities.\n\n@ standdottrade - track and copy trade Polymarket whales. receive lightning fast alerts when prediction market traders make high-conviction moves.\n\nFunds (2 apps)\n\n@polyfund - decentralized platform that enables skilled predictors to manage funds and investors to benefit from their expertise on Polymarket.\n\n@ICE_Markets - invested 2 billion in the Polymarket at a valuation of 2 billion. NYSE parent company. ICE and Polymarket also agreed to partner on future tokenization initiatives.\n\nAPIs (5 apps)\n\n@adjacentnews - forward looking news platform delivering PM-driven, contextual, and breaking news with advanced data and trading APIs.\n\n@forcazt_xyz - ai-powered PM analytics and aggregator for discovering high-alpha markets, arbitrage, and data-driven edge.\n\n@getdomeapi - developer infrastructure platform providing unified APIs and SDKs for accessing real-time and historical prediction market data across multiple platforms.\n\n@ goldskyio - blockchain data infrastructure powering Polymarket's real time PM data processing and onchain-offchain integration.\n\n@ clickhousedb - open-source, columnar OLAP database delivering blazing-fast analytics for large-scale, real-time data across multiple industries.\n\nNews + Educational Resources (7 apps)\n\n@polynoob_ - beginner-friendly encyclopedia and guide for navigating Polymarket prediction markets with strategies, trader insights, and educational content.\n\n@prophet_notes - expert-backed prediction newsletter delivering data-driven insights on politics, finance, and geopolitics.\n\n@polymarketinfo - newsletter and podcast offering news, insights, and analysis from the world’s largest PM.\n\n@PredictionNews_ - comprehensive news, analysis, and data driven insights covering the growing prediction market industry.\n\n@ stocktwits - world's largest social media platform for traders and investors with 10+ million users, featuring real time market discussions and integrated PM probabilities.\n\n@ _boringnews - ai-powered daily news show that uses Polymarket PM odds as the foundation for unbiased, data driven news delivery across YT, X, and podcast platforms.\n\n@ deepnewzcom - ai-powered news app serving personalized, unbiased stories with real time prediction market odds for every news.\n\nI've done a huge work while researching all Polymarket ecosystem.\n\nI've experiensed each tool on myself and chose the best ones.\n\nuse this library as you wish, and if you need a closer look on each category - lmk in dms/replies.\n\njust use and build on 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got scammed.\n\nproject handling the Polymarket builder badge contacted me with a work proposal as growth lead.\n\nmy duties were: drop a tweet once a week to my X page and write an article once they go live.\n\nthe only thing why I trusted them - builders badge.\n\nnow their x page was banned, but I have the proofs in telegram dms, where the guy from team told me everything is good and they are working hard on tool.\n\ni was asking questions like:\nwhy your followers count is bouncing from 300 to 1k in hours?\ncan i contact someone else from your team?\nhow can i be sure you're not scammers?\n\ni will drop some pics in replies to make you sure I was scammed not less then anyone of those who bought the scam token.\n\nmuch sorries to all. hope my face will still stay the 'good' for you. 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polymarket traders have avg 90% winrate.\n\npure insideкs, government officials, and analysts.\n\nmentioned best 5 here:\n\nI. Gambler1968\n\n~$190k overall pnl.\n\nthis guy literally making thousands of x predicting the right outcomes on politics, crypto and mention markets.\n\nseem like a genius or lucky degen?\n\nperfect for (geo)politics: https://t.co/NPy9g4IIQc\n\nII. GoldenFinger\n\nfresh registered wallet, one from potential insiders on 'will stable launch a token in 2025' market.\n\npredicting yes with ~$40k payout.\n\nideal for markets around stable launch: https://t.co/O56KkxOhb1\n\nIII. Euan\n\nover >$220k overall pnl. one from top searched traders atm.\n\nsharp predictor found an edge trading on insider activity.\n\nalso was the first to discover Lord Miles was trading against himself on his own market.\n\nperfect for copying: https://t.co/o3R2g7vE4W\n\nIV. ilovecircle\n\ninsane trader with parabolic $2million pnl in 2 months.\n\ntrading across sports, politics and crypto.\n83% accuracy.\n\nprofile: https://t.co/1NUDq5zLHf\n\nV. kcnyekchno\n\npotential government employee made $570k in 4 months.\n\npolitics and techs.\n113 predictions.\n84 wins.\n\nrare and precise trades: https://t.co/JE2phOQo7v\n\nset my alerts for these 5, looking forward at their new 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Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.\n\nthis is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.\n\nNO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.\nthe same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).\n\nMaduro out in 2025 market.\n\ntrader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.\n\nmarket odds are 25% for YES.\n\nholding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.\n\nTIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.\n\nmajority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.\n\nTIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).\n\n2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.\n\nNO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.\n\nMegaETH Public Sale market.\n\nraised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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on polymarket doing nothing.\n\ntop traders for counter trading strategy.\n\nread how below:\n\naccording to stats, only 13% of traders have positive pnl.\nothers are drowning in loses, you can earn from it.\n\nyou can either stay sidelined from trades you are not confident with or counter trade the top losers.\n\nthe second point makes much more sense.\n\nI collected top3 traders having the lowest winrate and highest negative pnl:\n\nI. SSryjh\n\nwallet registered 1 month ago with insane -$3,4million pnl.\n\nonly 67 trades on sports, 27% winrate.\nperfect for counter trading sports polymarkets.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/nGXdL1dnYg\n\nII. sonnyf\n\nold trader joined in 2023.\nstill active and hold -$470k overall pnl with 21% winrate.\n\nhe didn't find any success in politics, sports, mention markets.\n\nbut still trading a number of different markets, which gives you the possibility to ape the front predictions.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/WELQP7X0yT\n\nIII. egas\n\nold trader with rare but interesting trades at crypto polymarkets.\nnow he actively trades yes at aztec token launch market.\n\noverall pnl -$13k with 28% winrate.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/I80oBEYPWn\n\ntl;dr\n\ncopytrade may occur not the best strategy due to its malfunctions in face of:\n\nfast limit orders filling.\nhundreds of other wallets copying 1 trader.\nmanipulations and so on.\n\nbut counter trade may seem an interesting edge to discover, 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Musk tweets count market released.\n\nfollow the tendency and grow your balance.\n\nhow to grab 160% payback:\n\nplacing limit orders at how much elon will tweet nov18-nov25.\n\nI am trading elon's polymarkets for a month and caught the tendency he almost regularly following:\n\nlower x activity at saturday+sunday+monday (next 3 days).\nhigher x activity at dates of announcements related to him.\n\naccording to the recently resoluted markets, and current elon x activity:\n\npicked 160-239 range at 6¢-10¢ per share with limit orders\n\ncurrent odds for 200-299 are overpriced cuz of recent large tweets count, but keep in mind 1 thing:\n\neach exact day of week matters different.\n\nnext 2-3 days might show much lower tweets count, then the higher odds will relocate to lower outcomes.\n\nthe crowd (in its majority) reacts only at current day, it has no vision to the next ones, so let them stay wrong.\n\nlooking forward to cut the range to enhance liquidity concentration.\n\ntotal shares 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earn at Elon Musk Tweets Count market.\n\nwe've already calculated the @Polymarket winner structure.\n\nbut look at this from another edge.\n\nhere's my offer:\nbuy the outcomes in exact range and hold till profit comes to you.\n\nlook at tendency:\n\noct17-oct24 count: 280-299\noct14-oct21 count: 260-279\noct10-oct17 count: 180-199\noct07-oct14 count: 240-259\noct03-oct10 count: 280-299\n\nyou can see that elon makes 240 avg tweets per week. but predicting only 220-260 range may make you lose.\n\nthen you expand outcome range buys and calculate profit:\n\noct21-oct28 market.\n\nending soon, so there's no need of observing it, the outcome is almost clear.\nwe need to enter markets recently launched.\n\noct24-oct31market.\n\nlaunched 3 days ago and current tweets count is 71.\nfirst 2 days of market were running at weekends.\nelon haven't tweeted as much as he does on weekdays.\n\nthe odds already reacted and we see 160-220 range at the top.\n\nso, I can predict the increasing daily tweets count and make buys of these outcomes:\n\n(160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219) + (220-239)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 62,5¢.\n\nif any of outcomes I bought will be resoluted, I get 66% profit to my total position.\n\nokay, to feel myself more confident I add (240-259) + (260-279) outcomes.\n\nand even after this I get a guaranteed >50% to my total position.\n\n4days. insane 4,500% APY.\n\noct28-nov4 market.\n\ntrades already started, even before dates came. thinking from tendency of few last resoluted and ongoing markets. odds already help us:\n\n(120-139) + (140-159) + (160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 76¢.\n\n31% profit in 8days. or 1,410% APY.\n\nthe main thing.\n\nthese calculations are set for the worst type of traders - they aped and forgot.\n\nwhile you can always check the market tendency, be alerted to elon's tweets and remove the piece of range that might be out of pumping soon.\n\nthe closer end of the market, the 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(even for 23 cents)\n\nif you're not agree, then you lost.\n\nMegaETH public sale >$1b total committed.\n\nhere's simple calculations:\n\nthere's ~80k wallets registered for public sale and not participated yet.\n\nlimits: $180k per deposit adress.\n\n~$15b will committed if each of them deposit at max cap.\n\nofc it won't happen. but it needs ~4% of these wallets to reach $1b.\n\nalready raised over $500m and 2 more days left.\n\nthere's no need to rush the sale, no benefits to be early.\n\nfrom previous public sales experience: big money appears on the last day.\n\nonce we climb >$1b there could be fast growth to $1.5b-$2.0b\n\nso buying YES >1b$ is definitely smart move rn.\n\nthat's actually 3,200% APY.\n\nhold >$1b till resolution and keep an eye at >$1.8b.\n\nPolymarket market link in replies.","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1983236248677326996","view_count":12948,"bookmark_count":67,"created_at":1761675343000,"favorite_count":123,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":53,"retweet_count":11,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1983236248677326996","full_text":"I offer you to buy $1 for 81 cents, 80 cents, 74 cents on Polymarket.\n\nwhat will happen before GTA VI market.\n\nbroke that down here:\n\nmarket is fresh and odds didn't normalized yet. this is perfect moment to enter.\n\nTrump out as President outcome.\n\ntrump entered the presidency in 2024 and there's 3 years more left till new us presidency election.\n\nofc he can be out earlier, just like it happening to Maduro rn.\n\nbut.\n\nthere's still an exact roadmap trump presented at election race.\n\nchina tariffs, economy deals, national debt, and even Powell suspension is only at his responsibility.\n\nno way someone can handle this duties except D. Trump.\n\nyou can either like him or hate, but in next ~5yrs you'll see how us economy reborns.\n\nNO at 74¢ per share.\n\nBitcoin hits $1m outcome.\n\nsimple math:\n\ncurrent crypto capitalization ~$4 trillion.\ncurrent btc dominance ~60%.\nbtc price ~$115k.\n\nfor reaching btc $1m price the total crypto market has to hit $32 trillion with the same dominance.\n\nor 8,7x from current statement. do you really think it's possible in only 9 months? lmao.\n\nNO at 80¢ per share.\n\nJesus Christ returns outcome market.\n\njust a playful outcome, as same as Jesus returning market with 3% odds to yes.\n\nthe main thing that makes me uncertain is the market description:\n\nthere's probably nothing written. that could appear as april fool's day joke and then resoluted as yes.\n\nbut untill, I'd prefer holding NO at 81¢ per share.\n\nthere's some more outcomes you can predict.\n\nplayboi carti album.\ngpt-6 release.\nrussia-ukraine ceasefire.\nrihanna album.\nchina taiwan invasion.\n\nbut they 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I think only a few.\n\nit all comes from mispriced markets and rapid volatility.\n\nlet me describe:\n\ntens of markets (majority of which are politics) are not as mispriced as susceptible to the influence of words from exact ppl.\n\nElon Tweets Count market:\n\nelon was about to launch grokipedia.\n\ntraders who were alerted abt his intentions, were ready with limit orders to bigger tweet count outcomes.\n\nresults?\nodds were rapidly changed in a day and those, who bought the odds for bigger tweets count won.\n\nthe same happened to us tariff rate on china market:\n\nno one believed that after trump's words abt trading war with china something could be changed.\n\nat livestream from white house trump changed his mind saying 'it could be nice to meet with xi and discuss the tariffs'.\n\nhe kept it pushing for a week.\nas a result - 9x from initial odds.\n\nI made the list of markets potentially follow the same pattern:\n\nNYC Mayoral Election market.\n\nthe odds giving 95¢ for 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were right again.\n\ngovernment shutdown ended today at 2am utc.\n\nprediction nov12-15 played 22¢→100¢.\n\nfor those who late it was 85¢→100¢.\n\nthe next market I'm looking at:\n\nWill Zohran Mamdani be deported by dec31 market.\n\nno doubt the deportation of federal employee while he is a present mayor of new york is something unbelievable.\n\nbut we don't need to wait till resolution.\n\nlet's revise the mamdani's election campaign and his promising words.\n\nhis intentions about abolishing the police and so on are programmed shcizo.\nkeep in mind relations he has with trump and republicans.\n\nonly 39,91% of nyc citizens voted at election.\nmamdani has only 50% of total votes.\n\nthe mood of societies which DO NOT CONSIDER him as their mayor is ready to explode.\n\nall this in total makes Mamdani to be much careful with his words, promises.\n\nbut he wasn't.\n\nnew york is ready to tear up his mayoralty asap.\n\nand that's why his first failure will obviously pump YES odds like to 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.\n\nthis is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.\n\nNO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.\nthe same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).\n\nMaduro out in 2025 market.\n\ntrader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.\n\nmarket odds are 25% for YES.\n\nholding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.\n\nTIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.\n\nmajority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.\n\nTIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).\n\n2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.\n\nNO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.\n\nMegaETH Public Sale market.\n\nraised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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on polymarket doing nothing.\n\ntop traders for counter trading strategy.\n\nread how below:\n\naccording to stats, only 13% of traders have positive pnl.\nothers are drowning in loses, you can earn from it.\n\nyou can either stay sidelined from trades you are not confident with or counter trade the top losers.\n\nthe second point makes much more sense.\n\nI collected top3 traders having the lowest winrate and highest negative pnl:\n\nI. SSryjh\n\nwallet registered 1 month ago with insane -$3,4million pnl.\n\nonly 67 trades on sports, 27% winrate.\nperfect for counter trading sports polymarkets.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/nGXdL1dnYg\n\nII. sonnyf\n\nold trader joined in 2023.\nstill active and hold -$470k overall pnl with 21% winrate.\n\nhe didn't find any success in politics, sports, mention markets.\n\nbut still trading a number of different markets, which gives you the possibility to ape the front predictions.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/WELQP7X0yT\n\nIII. egas\n\nold trader with rare but interesting trades at crypto polymarkets.\nnow he actively trades yes at aztec token launch market.\n\noverall pnl -$13k with 28% winrate.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/I80oBEYPWn\n\ntl;dr\n\ncopytrade may occur not the best strategy due to its malfunctions in face of:\n\nfast limit orders filling.\nhundreds of other wallets copying 1 trader.\nmanipulations and so on.\n\nbut counter trade may seem an interesting edge to discover, 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Musk tweets count market released.\n\nfollow the tendency and grow your balance.\n\nhow to grab 160% payback:\n\nplacing limit orders at how much elon will tweet nov18-nov25.\n\nI am trading elon's polymarkets for a month and caught the tendency he almost regularly following:\n\nlower x activity at saturday+sunday+monday (next 3 days).\nhigher x activity at dates of announcements related to him.\n\naccording to the recently resoluted markets, and current elon x activity:\n\npicked 160-239 range at 6¢-10¢ per share with limit orders\n\ncurrent odds for 200-299 are overpriced cuz of recent large tweets count, but keep in mind 1 thing:\n\neach exact day of week matters different.\n\nnext 2-3 days might show much lower tweets count, then the higher odds will relocate to lower outcomes.\n\nthe crowd (in its majority) reacts only at current day, it has no vision to the next ones, so let them stay wrong.\n\nlooking forward to cut the range to enhance liquidity concentration.\n\ntotal shares 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earn at Elon Musk Tweets Count market.\n\nwe've already calculated the @Polymarket winner structure.\n\nbut look at this from another edge.\n\nhere's my offer:\nbuy the outcomes in exact range and hold till profit comes to you.\n\nlook at tendency:\n\noct17-oct24 count: 280-299\noct14-oct21 count: 260-279\noct10-oct17 count: 180-199\noct07-oct14 count: 240-259\noct03-oct10 count: 280-299\n\nyou can see that elon makes 240 avg tweets per week. but predicting only 220-260 range may make you lose.\n\nthen you expand outcome range buys and calculate profit:\n\noct21-oct28 market.\n\nending soon, so there's no need of observing it, the outcome is almost clear.\nwe need to enter markets recently launched.\n\noct24-oct31market.\n\nlaunched 3 days ago and current tweets count is 71.\nfirst 2 days of market were running at weekends.\nelon haven't tweeted as much as he does on weekdays.\n\nthe odds already reacted and we see 160-220 range at the top.\n\nso, I can predict the increasing daily tweets count and make buys of these outcomes:\n\n(160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219) + (220-239)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 62,5¢.\n\nif any of outcomes I bought will be resoluted, I get 66% profit to my total position.\n\nokay, to feel myself more confident I add (240-259) + (260-279) outcomes.\n\nand even after this I get a guaranteed >50% to my total position.\n\n4days. insane 4,500% APY.\n\noct28-nov4 market.\n\ntrades already started, even before dates came. thinking from tendency of few last resoluted and ongoing markets. odds already help us:\n\n(120-139) + (140-159) + (160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 76¢.\n\n31% profit in 8days. or 1,410% APY.\n\nthe main thing.\n\nthese calculations are set for the worst type of traders - they aped and forgot.\n\nwhile you can always check the market tendency, be alerted to elon's tweets and remove the piece of range that might be out of pumping soon.\n\nthe closer end of the market, the 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(even for 23 cents)\n\nif you're not agree, then you lost.\n\nMegaETH public sale >$1b total committed.\n\nhere's simple calculations:\n\nthere's ~80k wallets registered for public sale and not participated yet.\n\nlimits: $180k per deposit adress.\n\n~$15b will committed if each of them deposit at max cap.\n\nofc it won't happen. but it needs ~4% of these wallets to reach $1b.\n\nalready raised over $500m and 2 more days left.\n\nthere's no need to rush the sale, no benefits to be early.\n\nfrom previous public sales experience: big money appears on the last day.\n\nonce we climb >$1b there could be fast growth to $1.5b-$2.0b\n\nso buying YES >1b$ is definitely smart move rn.\n\nthat's actually 3,200% APY.\n\nhold >$1b till resolution and keep an eye at >$1.8b.\n\nPolymarket market link in replies.","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1983236248677326996","view_count":12948,"bookmark_count":67,"created_at":1761675343000,"favorite_count":123,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":53,"retweet_count":11,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1983236248677326996","full_text":"I offer you to buy $1 for 81 cents, 80 cents, 74 cents on Polymarket.\n\nwhat will happen before GTA VI market.\n\nbroke that down here:\n\nmarket is fresh and odds didn't normalized yet. this is perfect moment to enter.\n\nTrump out as President outcome.\n\ntrump entered the presidency in 2024 and there's 3 years more left till new us presidency election.\n\nofc he can be out earlier, just like it happening to Maduro rn.\n\nbut.\n\nthere's still an exact roadmap trump presented at election race.\n\nchina tariffs, economy deals, national debt, and even Powell suspension is only at his responsibility.\n\nno way someone can handle this duties except D. Trump.\n\nyou can either like him or hate, but in next ~5yrs you'll see how us economy reborns.\n\nNO at 74¢ per share.\n\nBitcoin hits $1m outcome.\n\nsimple math:\n\ncurrent crypto capitalization ~$4 trillion.\ncurrent btc dominance ~60%.\nbtc price ~$115k.\n\nfor reaching btc $1m price the total crypto market has to hit $32 trillion with the same dominance.\n\nor 8,7x from current statement. do you really think it's possible in only 9 months? lmao.\n\nNO at 80¢ per share.\n\nJesus Christ returns outcome market.\n\njust a playful outcome, as same as Jesus returning market with 3% odds to yes.\n\nthe main thing that makes me uncertain is the market description:\n\nthere's probably nothing written. that could appear as april fool's day joke and then resoluted as yes.\n\nbut untill, I'd prefer holding NO at 81¢ per share.\n\nthere's some more outcomes you can predict.\n\nplayboi carti album.\ngpt-6 release.\nrussia-ukraine ceasefire.\nrihanna album.\nchina taiwan invasion.\n\nbut they 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I think only a few.\n\nit all comes from mispriced markets and rapid volatility.\n\nlet me describe:\n\ntens of markets (majority of which are politics) are not as mispriced as susceptible to the influence of words from exact ppl.\n\nElon Tweets Count market:\n\nelon was about to launch grokipedia.\n\ntraders who were alerted abt his intentions, were ready with limit orders to bigger tweet count outcomes.\n\nresults?\nodds were rapidly changed in a day and those, who bought the odds for bigger tweets count won.\n\nthe same happened to us tariff rate on china market:\n\nno one believed that after trump's words abt trading war with china something could be changed.\n\nat livestream from white house trump changed his mind saying 'it could be nice to meet with xi and discuss the tariffs'.\n\nhe kept it pushing for a week.\nas a result - 9x from initial odds.\n\nI made the list of markets potentially follow the same pattern:\n\nNYC Mayoral Election market.\n\nthe odds giving 95¢ for 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were right again.\n\ngovernment shutdown ended today at 2am utc.\n\nprediction nov12-15 played 22¢→100¢.\n\nfor those who late it was 85¢→100¢.\n\nthe next market I'm looking at:\n\nWill Zohran Mamdani be deported by dec31 market.\n\nno doubt the deportation of federal employee while he is a present mayor of new york is something unbelievable.\n\nbut we don't need to wait till resolution.\n\nlet's revise the mamdani's election campaign and his promising words.\n\nhis intentions about abolishing the police and so on are programmed shcizo.\nkeep in mind relations he has with trump and republicans.\n\nonly 39,91% of nyc citizens voted at election.\nmamdani has only 50% of total votes.\n\nthe mood of societies which DO NOT CONSIDER him as their mayor is ready to explode.\n\nall this in total makes Mamdani to be much careful with his words, promises.\n\nbut he wasn't.\n\nnew york is ready to tear up his mayoralty asap.\n\nand that's why his first failure will obviously pump YES odds like to 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.\n\nthis is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.\n\nNO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.\nthe same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).\n\nMaduro out in 2025 market.\n\ntrader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.\n\nmarket odds are 25% for YES.\n\nholding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.\n\nTIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.\n\nmajority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.\n\nTIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).\n\n2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.\n\nNO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.\n\nMegaETH Public Sale market.\n\nraised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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on polymarket doing nothing.\n\ntop traders for counter trading strategy.\n\nread how below:\n\naccording to stats, only 13% of traders have positive pnl.\nothers are drowning in loses, you can earn from it.\n\nyou can either stay sidelined from trades you are not confident with or counter trade the top losers.\n\nthe second point makes much more sense.\n\nI collected top3 traders having the lowest winrate and highest negative pnl:\n\nI. SSryjh\n\nwallet registered 1 month ago with insane -$3,4million pnl.\n\nonly 67 trades on sports, 27% winrate.\nperfect for counter trading sports polymarkets.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/nGXdL1dnYg\n\nII. sonnyf\n\nold trader joined in 2023.\nstill active and hold -$470k overall pnl with 21% winrate.\n\nhe didn't find any success in politics, sports, mention markets.\n\nbut still trading a number of different markets, which gives you the possibility to ape the front predictions.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/WELQP7X0yT\n\nIII. egas\n\nold trader with rare but interesting trades at crypto polymarkets.\nnow he actively trades yes at aztec token launch market.\n\noverall pnl -$13k with 28% winrate.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/I80oBEYPWn\n\ntl;dr\n\ncopytrade may occur not the best strategy due to its malfunctions in face of:\n\nfast limit orders filling.\nhundreds of other wallets copying 1 trader.\nmanipulations and so on.\n\nbut counter trade may seem an interesting edge to discover, 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Musk tweets count market released.\n\nfollow the tendency and grow your balance.\n\nhow to grab 160% payback:\n\nplacing limit orders at how much elon will tweet nov18-nov25.\n\nI am trading elon's polymarkets for a month and caught the tendency he almost regularly following:\n\nlower x activity at saturday+sunday+monday (next 3 days).\nhigher x activity at dates of announcements related to him.\n\naccording to the recently resoluted markets, and current elon x activity:\n\npicked 160-239 range at 6¢-10¢ per share with limit orders\n\ncurrent odds for 200-299 are overpriced cuz of recent large tweets count, but keep in mind 1 thing:\n\neach exact day of week matters different.\n\nnext 2-3 days might show much lower tweets count, then the higher odds will relocate to lower outcomes.\n\nthe crowd (in its majority) reacts only at current day, it has no vision to the next ones, so let them stay wrong.\n\nlooking forward to cut the range to enhance liquidity concentration.\n\ntotal shares 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Regularly summarizing key learnings in bite-sized content will help keep followers hooked and attract newcomers.","roast":"Sophia is so obsessed with building momentum that if Twitter ever became a treadmill, she’d still be the only one sprinting — but maybe, just maybe, she should pause to catch her breath before repeating 'growth is a mindset'... again.","win":"Hosting her first collaborative Web3 Growth Space with top experts like @BreesIsaiah, which sparked lively discussions and positioned her as a valuable connector and authority in the Web3 startup ecosystem."},"created":1763539321474,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"wealthy_sophia"},{"user":{"id":"1692336760691277824","name":"chip 🍪","description":"hating on cheap talk, talking with money // founder, ceo chip capital (+$1m aum)","followers_count":1297,"friends_count":365,"statuses_count":5532,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1944993547431890944/ZBlNDewa_normal.jpg","screen_name":"chiptomunk","location":"","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]},"url":{"urls":[{"display_url":"chiptomunk.com","expanded_url":"http://chiptomunk.com","url":"https://t.co/Eg0CWkekgJ","indices":[0,23]}]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"Chip 🍪 is a bold, money-minded founder and CEO who thrives on turning sharp predictions into serious profits. 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Who knew the real moonshot was her timeline's scroll bar!","win":"Turning modest early bets on Kaidro Sparksuit and $RON staking into tens of thousands in returns and securing top creator status at AbstractChain and CoinMarketCap is a solid testament to her entrepreneurial savvy and Web3 foresight."},"created":1763537074926,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"neslie_eth"},{"user":{"id":"1564966061241339904","name":"dinesh (buildbuildbuild arc)","description":"indie hacker shipping for 100k+ users 🔨","followers_count":2429,"friends_count":1667,"statuses_count":1573,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1981764034136285184/M4XST7MT_normal.jpg","screen_name":"dineshcodes","location":"Moving","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]},"url":{"urls":[{"display_url":"dinesht.com","expanded_url":"http://dinesht.com","url":"https://t.co/2pkVBjRscJ","indices":[0,23]}]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"Dinesh is an indie hacker and entrepreneurial powerhouse, dedicated to creating and scaling digital products with a keen focus on real-world impact. 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He values transparency, efficiency, and the democratization of technology to help smaller players thrive amidst the complexities of modern life.","facts":"Fun fact: Oliver once procrastinated so hard on his tax filing that he almost faced a $10,000 fine—prompting him to build 'Taxing,' a tool that now saves him and others countless hours every year!","strength":"His greatest strengths are his entrepreneurial drive, hands-on problem-solving mindset, and a strong commitment to building tools that are both practical and scalable. Oliver also excels in leveraging open source collaboration to keep his solutions robust and adaptable.","weakness":"Oliver tends to dive deep into building technical solutions, sometimes at the expense of broader audience engagement or simplifying his message for mass appeal. His high tweeting frequency can also dilute his impact and overwhelm potential followers.","recommendation":"To grow his audience on X, Oliver should focus on crafting concise, compelling narratives around each product launch or update, using storytelling to highlight user benefits. Engaging more with his community by answering questions and sharing behind-the-scenes challenges can also humanize his brand and build loyal followers.","roast":"Oliver’s dedication to building tools might be the only thing more persistent than his tweet count—if tweeting were a full-time job, he’d be CEO by now, but luckily for us, he prefers creating products over just announcing them in 280 characters or less.","win":"Successfully created and launched 'Taxing,' a groundbreaking tool that automates invoice collection and drastically reduces the nightmare of tax prep for solo entrepreneurs, securing his place as a practical innovator in the small business tech space."},"created":1763536441909,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"oli_tools"},{"user":{"id":"1867050250483183616","name":"NM$L | 🌊RIVER","description":"我是【 NM$L 】,我现在在LA,我遇到一些很坏很坏的X运营,大号被永久冻结,现在我需要你的帮助,微信转账300块帮我回到web3世界,你懂我意思吗?我对你敬礼,Salute!","followers_count":1239,"friends_count":754,"statuses_count":2624,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1987903905372786688/pI0K48WE_normal.jpg","screen_name":"rjyttfc","location":"祖安","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"NM$L | 🌊RIVER is a relentless digital hustler navigating the chaotic world of X with a sharp focus on the web3 space. 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They believe in leveraging digital assets and social networks to create opportunities and foster trust, while emphasizing community verification to avoid spam and maintain authenticity.","facts":"Fun fact: Despite having their main account permanently frozen, NM$L has bounced back with a strategic comeback plan, using token giveaways to rally and rebuild their tribe on X.","strength":"Exceptional entrepreneurial spirit fueled by adaptability, strategic community engagement, and a deep understanding of web3 dynamics, combined with a persuasive social media presence that can mobilize followers quickly.","weakness":"Over-reliance on large-scale giveaways and high volume posting might risk follower fatigue or dilution of authentic engagement, making it harder to sustain long-term meaningful connections.","recommendation":"To grow their audience on X, NM$L should blend their giveaway strategy with more unique and insightful content about web3 trends, personal stories of recovery, and community spotlights. Engaging more in conversations and using multimedia (videos, AMAs) can create deeper bonds beyond simple airdrop incentives.","roast":"NM$L’s audition for 'Most Tweets per Day' is impressive, but at this pace, even their keyboard might be begging for a break — maybe slow down before your followers need an airdrop just to keep up with you!","win":"Pulling off a highly engaging airdrop campaign that sparked thousands of interactions and comments, successfully reconnecting with the web3 community despite the obstacles of a frozen main account."},"created":1763536415876,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"rjyttfc"},{"user":{"id":"2682861042","name":"Hunter J. Isaacson","description":"I build apps you and your friends use. 300,000,000+ downloads and climbing. 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Hunter values honesty about failure and persistence towards long-term goals over instant perfection.","facts":"Fun fact: Despite building 12 apps, Hunter openly shares that 7 flopped—proving his formula is less about flawless launches and more about relentless hustle and learning from mistakes.","strength":"Unstoppable drive to build and scale digital products, combined with the wisdom to pivot quickly and leverage failures to fuel future wins.","weakness":"Tendency to put extreme pressure on himself, bordering on burnout and occasional existential overwhelm at his young age.","roast":"Hunter’s so committed to building apps, he probably codes in his sleep—watch out for those midnight updates that turn your phone into a surprise beta testing platform!","win":"Achieving millionaire status at 23 through a wildly successful app that garnered over 250 million downloads, marking a massive milestone in his entrepreneurial journey.","recommendation":"To grow his audience on X, Hunter should share behind-the-scenes stories of both his epic fails and big wins, engage more with his followers by answering questions about app building, and amplify his motivational insights with bite-sized lessons to inspire budding entrepreneurs."},"created":1763536408442,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"hunterjisaacson"},{"user":{"id":"1939937469144633345","name":"Arpit Taneja","description":"Build Personal Brands on LinkedIn and Twitter for busy Founders and CEOs | Develop frontend solutions and pioneer Al innovations | DM For Collaboration.","followers_count":7984,"friends_count":56,"statuses_count":10340,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1945202398395555840/cAAgp1U1_normal.jpg","screen_name":"Arpit_coder0","location":"Australia","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"Arpit Taneja is a dynamic Entrepreneur who thrives on building powerful personal brands for busy founders and CEOs by leveraging LinkedIn and Twitter. A tech innovator at heart, he also pioneers AI-driven frontend solutions that push digital boundaries. His energetic social presence is a blend of valuable giveaways, actionable insights, and irresistible free resources that keep his audience engaged and growing.","purpose":"To empower business leaders to amplify their influence and impact through strategic personal branding while democratizing access to cutting-edge AI tools and knowledge that drive digital success.","beliefs":"Arpit believes in the transformative power of technology and community. He values accessibility, generosity, and the democratization of knowledge, insisting that anyone equipped with the right tools and guidance can achieve monumental growth and success.","facts":"Fun fact: Arpit announced he was a '$BTC billionaire' on Twitter and followed it up by giving away a full Bitcoin valued at over $106,000 to change someone's life, combining generosity with savvy social media tactics.","strength":"Relentless content creation with over 10,000 tweets and a highly engaging mix of giveaways and valuable AI and marketing resources that position him as a go-to expert for founders and CEOs; skilled at turning complex tech concepts into actionable freebies that build strong community ties.","weakness":"Occasionally risks overhyping giveaways and offers, which might dilute perceived authenticity or lead to engagement fatigue if the audience starts to tune out overly frequent calls to action.","recommendation":"To grow his audience on X even further, Arpit should diversify his content by mixing in more behind-the-scenes stories about his innovation process and client successes. Interactive polls, live Q&A sessions addressing founder pain points, and showcasing case studies would deepen trust and encourage more meaningful engagement beyond giveaways.","roast":"Arpit tweets so much, even the Twitter algorithm needs a coffee break—at this rate, he’s less ‘building a brand’ and more ‘running a 24/7 tweet factory.’ Just remember, sometimes less is more, especially when your followers might need a moment to catch up!","win":"Successfully built a thriving social media presence providing high-value AI workflows, marketing guides, and a viral Bitcoin giveaway, firmly establishing himself as a trusted Entrepreneur and go-to brand builder for busy founders and CEOs."},"created":1763536109003,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"arpit_coder0"},{"user":{"id":"3003486236","name":"banboo","description":"随便活着。","followers_count":39025,"friends_count":605,"statuses_count":8480,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1957642877254914048/VWg-Vtj__normal.jpg","screen_name":"xbanboo","location":"Dali","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"Banboo is a resilient self-starter transforming humble beginnings into dynamic business ventures, notably thriving in e-commerce and short-video marketing. 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earn at Elon Musk Tweets Count market.\n\nwe've already calculated the @Polymarket winner structure.\n\nbut look at this from another edge.\n\nhere's my offer:\nbuy the outcomes in exact range and hold till profit comes to you.\n\nlook at tendency:\n\noct17-oct24 count: 280-299\noct14-oct21 count: 260-279\noct10-oct17 count: 180-199\noct07-oct14 count: 240-259\noct03-oct10 count: 280-299\n\nyou can see that elon makes 240 avg tweets per week. but predicting only 220-260 range may make you lose.\n\nthen you expand outcome range buys and calculate profit:\n\noct21-oct28 market.\n\nending soon, so there's no need of observing it, the outcome is almost clear.\nwe need to enter markets recently launched.\n\noct24-oct31market.\n\nlaunched 3 days ago and current tweets count is 71.\nfirst 2 days of market were running at weekends.\nelon haven't tweeted as much as he does on weekdays.\n\nthe odds already reacted and we see 160-220 range at the top.\n\nso, I can predict the increasing daily tweets count and make buys of these outcomes:\n\n(160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219) + (220-239)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 62,5¢.\n\nif any of outcomes I bought will be resoluted, I get 66% profit to my total position.\n\nokay, to feel myself more confident I add (240-259) + (260-279) outcomes.\n\nand even after this I get a guaranteed >50% to my total position.\n\n4days. insane 4,500% APY.\n\noct28-nov4 market.\n\ntrades already started, even before dates came. thinking from tendency of few last resoluted and ongoing markets. odds already help us:\n\n(120-139) + (140-159) + (160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 76¢.\n\n31% profit in 8days. or 1,410% APY.\n\nthe main thing.\n\nthese calculations are set for the worst type of traders - they aped and forgot.\n\nwhile you can always check the market tendency, be alerted to elon's tweets and remove the piece of range that might be out of pumping soon.\n\nthe closer end of the market, the 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(even for 23 cents)\n\nif you're not agree, then you lost.\n\nMegaETH public sale >$1b total committed.\n\nhere's simple calculations:\n\nthere's ~80k wallets registered for public sale and not participated yet.\n\nlimits: $180k per deposit adress.\n\n~$15b will committed if each of them deposit at max cap.\n\nofc it won't happen. but it needs ~4% of these wallets to reach $1b.\n\nalready raised over $500m and 2 more days left.\n\nthere's no need to rush the sale, no benefits to be early.\n\nfrom previous public sales experience: big money appears on the last day.\n\nonce we climb >$1b there could be fast growth to $1.5b-$2.0b\n\nso buying YES >1b$ is definitely smart move rn.\n\nthat's actually 3,200% APY.\n\nhold >$1b till resolution and keep an eye at >$1.8b.\n\nPolymarket market link in replies.","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1983236248677326996","view_count":12948,"bookmark_count":67,"created_at":1761675343000,"favorite_count":123,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":53,"retweet_count":11,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1983236248677326996","full_text":"I offer you to buy $1 for 81 cents, 80 cents, 74 cents on Polymarket.\n\nwhat will happen before GTA VI market.\n\nbroke that down here:\n\nmarket is fresh and odds didn't normalized yet. this is perfect moment to enter.\n\nTrump out as President outcome.\n\ntrump entered the presidency in 2024 and there's 3 years more left till new us presidency election.\n\nofc he can be out earlier, just like it happening to Maduro rn.\n\nbut.\n\nthere's still an exact roadmap trump presented at election race.\n\nchina tariffs, economy deals, national debt, and even Powell suspension is only at his responsibility.\n\nno way someone can handle this duties except D. Trump.\n\nyou can either like him or hate, but in next ~5yrs you'll see how us economy reborns.\n\nNO at 74¢ per share.\n\nBitcoin hits $1m outcome.\n\nsimple math:\n\ncurrent crypto capitalization ~$4 trillion.\ncurrent btc dominance ~60%.\nbtc price ~$115k.\n\nfor reaching btc $1m price the total crypto market has to hit $32 trillion with the same dominance.\n\nor 8,7x from current statement. do you really think it's possible in only 9 months? lmao.\n\nNO at 80¢ per share.\n\nJesus Christ returns outcome market.\n\njust a playful outcome, as same as Jesus returning market with 3% odds to yes.\n\nthe main thing that makes me uncertain is the market description:\n\nthere's probably nothing written. that could appear as april fool's day joke and then resoluted as yes.\n\nbut untill, I'd prefer holding NO at 81¢ per share.\n\nthere's some more outcomes you can predict.\n\nplayboi carti album.\ngpt-6 release.\nrussia-ukraine ceasefire.\nrihanna album.\nchina taiwan invasion.\n\nbut they 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were right again.\n\ngovernment shutdown ended today at 2am utc.\n\nprediction nov12-15 played 22¢→100¢.\n\nfor those who late it was 85¢→100¢.\n\nthe next market I'm looking at:\n\nWill Zohran Mamdani be deported by dec31 market.\n\nno doubt the deportation of federal employee while he is a present mayor of new york is something unbelievable.\n\nbut we don't need to wait till resolution.\n\nlet's revise the mamdani's election campaign and his promising words.\n\nhis intentions about abolishing the police and so on are programmed shcizo.\nkeep in mind relations he has with trump and republicans.\n\nonly 39,91% of nyc citizens voted at election.\nmamdani has only 50% of total votes.\n\nthe mood of societies which DO NOT CONSIDER him as their mayor is ready to explode.\n\nall this in total makes Mamdani to be much careful with his words, promises.\n\nbut he wasn't.\n\nnew york is ready to tear up his mayoralty asap.\n\nand that's why his first failure will obviously pump YES odds like to 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.\n\nthis is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.\n\nNO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.\nthe same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).\n\nMaduro out in 2025 market.\n\ntrader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.\n\nmarket odds are 25% for YES.\n\nholding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.\n\nTIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.\n\nmajority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.\n\nTIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).\n\n2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.\n\nNO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.\n\nMegaETH Public Sale market.\n\nraised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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on polymarket doing nothing.\n\ntop traders for counter trading strategy.\n\nread how below:\n\naccording to stats, only 13% of traders have positive pnl.\nothers are drowning in loses, you can earn from it.\n\nyou can either stay sidelined from trades you are not confident with or counter trade the top losers.\n\nthe second point makes much more sense.\n\nI collected top3 traders having the lowest winrate and highest negative pnl:\n\nI. SSryjh\n\nwallet registered 1 month ago with insane -$3,4million pnl.\n\nonly 67 trades on sports, 27% winrate.\nperfect for counter trading sports polymarkets.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/nGXdL1dnYg\n\nII. sonnyf\n\nold trader joined in 2023.\nstill active and hold -$470k overall pnl with 21% winrate.\n\nhe didn't find any success in politics, sports, mention markets.\n\nbut still trading a number of different markets, which gives you the possibility to ape the front predictions.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/WELQP7X0yT\n\nIII. egas\n\nold trader with rare but interesting trades at crypto polymarkets.\nnow he actively trades yes at aztec token launch market.\n\noverall pnl -$13k with 28% winrate.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/I80oBEYPWn\n\ntl;dr\n\ncopytrade may occur not the best strategy due to its malfunctions in face of:\n\nfast limit orders filling.\nhundreds of other wallets copying 1 trader.\nmanipulations and so on.\n\nbut counter trade may seem an interesting edge to discover, 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Musk tweets count market released.\n\nfollow the tendency and grow your balance.\n\nhow to grab 160% payback:\n\nplacing limit orders at how much elon will tweet nov18-nov25.\n\nI am trading elon's polymarkets for a month and caught the tendency he almost regularly following:\n\nlower x activity at saturday+sunday+monday (next 3 days).\nhigher x activity at dates of announcements related to him.\n\naccording to the recently resoluted markets, and current elon x activity:\n\npicked 160-239 range at 6¢-10¢ per share with limit orders\n\ncurrent odds for 200-299 are overpriced cuz of recent large tweets count, but keep in mind 1 thing:\n\neach exact day of week matters different.\n\nnext 2-3 days might show much lower tweets count, then the higher odds will relocate to lower outcomes.\n\nthe crowd (in its majority) reacts only at current day, it has no vision to the next ones, so let them stay wrong.\n\nlooking forward to cut the range to enhance liquidity concentration.\n\ntotal shares 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earn at Elon Musk Tweets Count market.\n\nwe've already calculated the @Polymarket winner structure.\n\nbut look at this from another edge.\n\nhere's my offer:\nbuy the outcomes in exact range and hold till profit comes to you.\n\nlook at tendency:\n\noct17-oct24 count: 280-299\noct14-oct21 count: 260-279\noct10-oct17 count: 180-199\noct07-oct14 count: 240-259\noct03-oct10 count: 280-299\n\nyou can see that elon makes 240 avg tweets per week. but predicting only 220-260 range may make you lose.\n\nthen you expand outcome range buys and calculate profit:\n\noct21-oct28 market.\n\nending soon, so there's no need of observing it, the outcome is almost clear.\nwe need to enter markets recently launched.\n\noct24-oct31market.\n\nlaunched 3 days ago and current tweets count is 71.\nfirst 2 days of market were running at weekends.\nelon haven't tweeted as much as he does on weekdays.\n\nthe odds already reacted and we see 160-220 range at the top.\n\nso, I can predict the increasing daily tweets count and make buys of these outcomes:\n\n(160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219) + (220-239)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 62,5¢.\n\nif any of outcomes I bought will be resoluted, I get 66% profit to my total position.\n\nokay, to feel myself more confident I add (240-259) + (260-279) outcomes.\n\nand even after this I get a guaranteed >50% to my total position.\n\n4days. insane 4,500% APY.\n\noct28-nov4 market.\n\ntrades already started, even before dates came. thinking from tendency of few last resoluted and ongoing markets. odds already help us:\n\n(120-139) + (140-159) + (160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 76¢.\n\n31% profit in 8days. or 1,410% APY.\n\nthe main thing.\n\nthese calculations are set for the worst type of traders - they aped and forgot.\n\nwhile you can always check the market tendency, be alerted to elon's tweets and remove the piece of range that might be out of pumping soon.\n\nthe closer end of the market, the 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(even for 23 cents)\n\nif you're not agree, then you lost.\n\nMegaETH public sale >$1b total committed.\n\nhere's simple calculations:\n\nthere's ~80k wallets registered for public sale and not participated yet.\n\nlimits: $180k per deposit adress.\n\n~$15b will committed if each of them deposit at max cap.\n\nofc it won't happen. but it needs ~4% of these wallets to reach $1b.\n\nalready raised over $500m and 2 more days left.\n\nthere's no need to rush the sale, no benefits to be early.\n\nfrom previous public sales experience: big money appears on the last day.\n\nonce we climb >$1b there could be fast growth to $1.5b-$2.0b\n\nso buying YES >1b$ is definitely smart move rn.\n\nthat's actually 3,200% APY.\n\nhold >$1b till resolution and keep an eye at >$1.8b.\n\nPolymarket market link in replies.","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1983236248677326996","view_count":12948,"bookmark_count":67,"created_at":1761675343000,"favorite_count":123,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":53,"retweet_count":11,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1983236248677326996","full_text":"I offer you to buy $1 for 81 cents, 80 cents, 74 cents on Polymarket.\n\nwhat will happen before GTA VI market.\n\nbroke that down here:\n\nmarket is fresh and odds didn't normalized yet. this is perfect moment to enter.\n\nTrump out as President outcome.\n\ntrump entered the presidency in 2024 and there's 3 years more left till new us presidency election.\n\nofc he can be out earlier, just like it happening to Maduro rn.\n\nbut.\n\nthere's still an exact roadmap trump presented at election race.\n\nchina tariffs, economy deals, national debt, and even Powell suspension is only at his responsibility.\n\nno way someone can handle this duties except D. Trump.\n\nyou can either like him or hate, but in next ~5yrs you'll see how us economy reborns.\n\nNO at 74¢ per share.\n\nBitcoin hits $1m outcome.\n\nsimple math:\n\ncurrent crypto capitalization ~$4 trillion.\ncurrent btc dominance ~60%.\nbtc price ~$115k.\n\nfor reaching btc $1m price the total crypto market has to hit $32 trillion with the same dominance.\n\nor 8,7x from current statement. do you really think it's possible in only 9 months? lmao.\n\nNO at 80¢ per share.\n\nJesus Christ returns outcome market.\n\njust a playful outcome, as same as Jesus returning market with 3% odds to yes.\n\nthe main thing that makes me uncertain is the market description:\n\nthere's probably nothing written. that could appear as april fool's day joke and then resoluted as yes.\n\nbut untill, I'd prefer holding NO at 81¢ per share.\n\nthere's some more outcomes you can predict.\n\nplayboi carti album.\ngpt-6 release.\nrussia-ukraine ceasefire.\nrihanna album.\nchina taiwan invasion.\n\nbut they 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I think only a few.\n\nit all comes from mispriced markets and rapid volatility.\n\nlet me describe:\n\ntens of markets (majority of which are politics) are not as mispriced as susceptible to the influence of words from exact ppl.\n\nElon Tweets Count market:\n\nelon was about to launch grokipedia.\n\ntraders who were alerted abt his intentions, were ready with limit orders to bigger tweet count outcomes.\n\nresults?\nodds were rapidly changed in a day and those, who bought the odds for bigger tweets count won.\n\nthe same happened to us tariff rate on china market:\n\nno one believed that after trump's words abt trading war with china something could be changed.\n\nat livestream from white house trump changed his mind saying 'it could be nice to meet with xi and discuss the tariffs'.\n\nhe kept it pushing for a week.\nas a result - 9x from initial odds.\n\nI made the list of markets potentially follow the same pattern:\n\nNYC Mayoral Election market.\n\nthe odds giving 95¢ for 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were right again.\n\ngovernment shutdown ended today at 2am utc.\n\nprediction nov12-15 played 22¢→100¢.\n\nfor those who late it was 85¢→100¢.\n\nthe next market I'm looking at:\n\nWill Zohran Mamdani be deported by dec31 market.\n\nno doubt the deportation of federal employee while he is a present mayor of new york is something unbelievable.\n\nbut we don't need to wait till resolution.\n\nlet's revise the mamdani's election campaign and his promising words.\n\nhis intentions about abolishing the police and so on are programmed shcizo.\nkeep in mind relations he has with trump and republicans.\n\nonly 39,91% of nyc citizens voted at election.\nmamdani has only 50% of total votes.\n\nthe mood of societies which DO NOT CONSIDER him as their mayor is ready to explode.\n\nall this in total makes Mamdani to be much careful with his words, promises.\n\nbut he wasn't.\n\nnew york is ready to tear up his mayoralty asap.\n\nand that's why his first failure will obviously pump YES odds like to 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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Mamdani's real odds are far from 90%.\n\nthis is a money inflow by group of people to change the outcome by making ppl stay home and not to go vote, cuz they'd think it's pointless.\n\nNO for Zohran Mamdani at 11¢.\nthe same for D66 at 63¢ (but entry could be better in future).\n\nMaduro out in 2025 market.\n\ntrader named 'bravopueblo' created an account today and made a $20k prediction at Mamdani out market. there's a number of other similar wallets entered today.\n\nmarket odds are 25% for YES.\n\nholding YES at 21¢ for already 1 week. rumors say this is an obvious play.\n\nTIME's person of 2025 will be a human market.\n\nmajority of traders overestimating the risks of AI as an outcome to be resoluted.\n\nTIME's is a magazine about ppl, not tools (btw which are made by them).\n\n2/98 election results were non-human concept. check my previous tweet for more info.\n\nNO at 67¢ for Artificial Intelligence.\n\nMegaETH Public Sale market.\n\nraised over ~$870m. the tendency of majority 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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on polymarket doing nothing.\n\ntop traders for counter trading strategy.\n\nread how below:\n\naccording to stats, only 13% of traders have positive pnl.\nothers are drowning in loses, you can earn from it.\n\nyou can either stay sidelined from trades you are not confident with or counter trade the top losers.\n\nthe second point makes much more sense.\n\nI collected top3 traders having the lowest winrate and highest negative pnl:\n\nI. SSryjh\n\nwallet registered 1 month ago with insane -$3,4million pnl.\n\nonly 67 trades on sports, 27% winrate.\nperfect for counter trading sports polymarkets.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/nGXdL1dnYg\n\nII. sonnyf\n\nold trader joined in 2023.\nstill active and hold -$470k overall pnl with 21% winrate.\n\nhe didn't find any success in politics, sports, mention markets.\n\nbut still trading a number of different markets, which gives you the possibility to ape the front predictions.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/WELQP7X0yT\n\nIII. egas\n\nold trader with rare but interesting trades at crypto polymarkets.\nnow he actively trades yes at aztec token launch market.\n\noverall pnl -$13k with 28% winrate.\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/I80oBEYPWn\n\ntl;dr\n\ncopytrade may occur not the best strategy due to its malfunctions in face of:\n\nfast limit orders filling.\nhundreds of other wallets copying 1 trader.\nmanipulations and so on.\n\nbut counter trade may seem an interesting edge to discover, 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Musk tweets count market released.\n\nfollow the tendency and grow your balance.\n\nhow to grab 160% payback:\n\nplacing limit orders at how much elon will tweet nov18-nov25.\n\nI am trading elon's polymarkets for a month and caught the tendency he almost regularly following:\n\nlower x activity at saturday+sunday+monday (next 3 days).\nhigher x activity at dates of announcements related to him.\n\naccording to the recently resoluted markets, and current elon x activity:\n\npicked 160-239 range at 6¢-10¢ per share with limit orders\n\ncurrent odds for 200-299 are overpriced cuz of recent large tweets count, but keep in mind 1 thing:\n\neach exact day of week matters different.\n\nnext 2-3 days might show much lower tweets count, then the higher odds will relocate to lower outcomes.\n\nthe crowd (in its majority) reacts only at current day, it has no vision to the next ones, so let them stay wrong.\n\nlooking forward to cut the range to enhance liquidity concentration.\n\ntotal shares 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earn at Elon Musk Tweets Count market.\n\nwe've already calculated the @Polymarket winner structure.\n\nbut look at this from another edge.\n\nhere's my offer:\nbuy the outcomes in exact range and hold till profit comes to you.\n\nlook at tendency:\n\noct17-oct24 count: 280-299\noct14-oct21 count: 260-279\noct10-oct17 count: 180-199\noct07-oct14 count: 240-259\noct03-oct10 count: 280-299\n\nyou can see that elon makes 240 avg tweets per week. but predicting only 220-260 range may make you lose.\n\nthen you expand outcome range buys and calculate profit:\n\noct21-oct28 market.\n\nending soon, so there's no need of observing it, the outcome is almost clear.\nwe need to enter markets recently launched.\n\noct24-oct31market.\n\nlaunched 3 days ago and current tweets count is 71.\nfirst 2 days of market were running at weekends.\nelon haven't tweeted as much as he does on weekdays.\n\nthe odds already reacted and we see 160-220 range at the top.\n\nso, I can predict the increasing daily tweets count and make buys of these outcomes:\n\n(160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219) + (220-239)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 62,5¢.\n\nif any of outcomes I bought will be resoluted, I get 66% profit to my total position.\n\nokay, to feel myself more confident I add (240-259) + (260-279) outcomes.\n\nand even after this I get a guaranteed >50% to my total position.\n\n4days. insane 4,500% APY.\n\noct28-nov4 market.\n\ntrades already started, even before dates came. thinking from tendency of few last resoluted and ongoing markets. odds already help us:\n\n(120-139) + (140-159) + (160-179) + (180-199) + (200-219)\n\ntotal cost of odds are calculated as 76¢.\n\n31% profit in 8days. or 1,410% APY.\n\nthe main thing.\n\nthese calculations are set for the worst type of traders - they aped and forgot.\n\nwhile you can always check the market tendency, be alerted to elon's tweets and remove the piece of range that might be out of pumping soon.\n\nthe closer end of the market, the 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(even for 23 cents)\n\nif you're not agree, then you lost.\n\nMegaETH public sale >$1b total committed.\n\nhere's simple calculations:\n\nthere's ~80k wallets registered for public sale and not participated yet.\n\nlimits: $180k per deposit adress.\n\n~$15b will committed if each of them deposit at max cap.\n\nofc it won't happen. but it needs ~4% of these wallets to reach $1b.\n\nalready raised over $500m and 2 more days left.\n\nthere's no need to rush the sale, no benefits to be early.\n\nfrom previous public sales experience: big money appears on the last day.\n\nonce we climb >$1b there could be fast growth to $1.5b-$2.0b\n\nso buying YES >1b$ is definitely smart move rn.\n\nthat's actually 3,200% APY.\n\nhold >$1b till resolution and keep an eye at >$1.8b.\n\nPolymarket market link in replies.","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"extended_entities":{"media":[{"display_url":"pic.x.com/1rkaVBoZfg","expanded_url":"https://x.com/KyleDeWriter/status/1983236248677326996/photo/1","id_str":"1983231912979136513","indices":[281,304],"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513","media_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4Xa6tBXAAESCbu.jpg","type":"photo","url":"https://t.co/1rkaVBoZfg","ext_media_availability":{"status":"Available"},"features":{"large":{"faces":[]},"medium":{"faces":[]},"small":{"faces":[]},"orig":{"faces":[]}},"sizes":{"large":{"h":760,"w":1784,"resize":"fit"},"medium":{"h":511,"w":1200,"resize":"fit"},"small":{"h":290,"w":680,"resize":"fit"},"thumb":{"h":150,"w":150,"resize":"crop"}},"original_info":{"height":760,"width":1784,"focus_rects":[{"x":258,"y":0,"w":1357,"h":760},{"x":556,"y":0,"w":760,"h":760},{"x":603,"y":0,"w":667,"h":760},{"x":746,"y":0,"w":380,"h":760},{"x":0,"y":0,"w":1784,"h":760}]},"allow_download_status":{"allow_download":true},"media_results":{"result":{"media_key":"3_1983231912979136513"}}}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","possibly_sensitive":false,"possibly_sensitive_editable":true,"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1983236248677326996","view_count":12948,"bookmark_count":67,"created_at":1761675343000,"favorite_count":123,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":53,"retweet_count":11,"user_id_str":"1458442711418261505","conversation_id_str":"1983236248677326996","full_text":"I offer you to buy $1 for 81 cents, 80 cents, 74 cents on Polymarket.\n\nwhat will happen before GTA VI market.\n\nbroke that down here:\n\nmarket is fresh and odds didn't normalized yet. this is perfect moment to enter.\n\nTrump out as President outcome.\n\ntrump entered the presidency in 2024 and there's 3 years more left till new us presidency election.\n\nofc he can be out earlier, just like it happening to Maduro rn.\n\nbut.\n\nthere's still an exact roadmap trump presented at election race.\n\nchina tariffs, economy deals, national debt, and even Powell suspension is only at his responsibility.\n\nno way someone can handle this duties except D. Trump.\n\nyou can either like him or hate, but in next ~5yrs you'll see how us economy reborns.\n\nNO at 74¢ per share.\n\nBitcoin hits $1m outcome.\n\nsimple math:\n\ncurrent crypto capitalization ~$4 trillion.\ncurrent btc dominance ~60%.\nbtc price ~$115k.\n\nfor reaching btc $1m price the total crypto market has to hit $32 trillion with the same dominance.\n\nor 8,7x from current statement. do you really think it's possible in only 9 months? lmao.\n\nNO at 80¢ per share.\n\nJesus Christ returns outcome market.\n\njust a playful outcome, as same as Jesus returning market with 3% odds to yes.\n\nthe main thing that makes me uncertain is the market description:\n\nthere's probably nothing written. that could appear as april fool's day joke and then resoluted as yes.\n\nbut untill, I'd prefer holding NO at 81¢ per share.\n\nthere's some more outcomes you can predict.\n\nplayboi carti album.\ngpt-6 release.\nrussia-ukraine ceasefire.\nrihanna album.\nchina taiwan invasion.\n\nbut they 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I think only a few.\n\nit all comes from mispriced markets and rapid volatility.\n\nlet me describe:\n\ntens of markets (majority of which are politics) are not as mispriced as susceptible to the influence of words from exact ppl.\n\nElon Tweets Count market:\n\nelon was about to launch grokipedia.\n\ntraders who were alerted abt his intentions, were ready with limit orders to bigger tweet count outcomes.\n\nresults?\nodds were rapidly changed in a day and those, who bought the odds for bigger tweets count won.\n\nthe same happened to us tariff rate on china market:\n\nno one believed that after trump's words abt trading war with china something could be changed.\n\nat livestream from white house trump changed his mind saying 'it could be nice to meet with xi and discuss the tariffs'.\n\nhe kept it pushing for a week.\nas a result - 9x from initial odds.\n\nI made the list of markets potentially follow the same pattern:\n\nNYC Mayoral Election market.\n\nthe odds giving 95¢ for 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were right again.\n\ngovernment shutdown ended today at 2am utc.\n\nprediction nov12-15 played 22¢→100¢.\n\nfor those who late it was 85¢→100¢.\n\nthe next market I'm looking at:\n\nWill Zohran Mamdani be deported by dec31 market.\n\nno doubt the deportation of federal employee while he is a present mayor of new york is something unbelievable.\n\nbut we don't need to wait till resolution.\n\nlet's revise the mamdani's election campaign and his promising words.\n\nhis intentions about abolishing the police and so on are programmed shcizo.\nkeep in mind relations he has with trump and republicans.\n\nonly 39,91% of nyc citizens voted at election.\nmamdani has only 50% of total votes.\n\nthe mood of societies which DO NOT CONSIDER him as their mayor is ready to explode.\n\nall this in total makes Mamdani to be much careful with his words, promises.\n\nbut he wasn't.\n\nnew york is ready to tear up his mayoralty asap.\n\nand that's why his first failure will obviously pump YES odds like to 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were right again.\n\n1.1¢→5¢ at the high, limit order closed.\n\nfixed 50% of total position, continuing the hold.\n\nthe new market to discover:\n\nEpstein disclosure bill markets.\n\nearlier, in september the committee of u.s. house of representatives has released a copy of book, believed it was given to Jeffrey Epstein in 2003.\n\nin addition numerous documents, including the will of the convicted financier, and his address book with members of royal families, politicians, and celebrities.\n\nto be short:\n\nthe revealed (and about to be) documents are the direct proofs of the involvement of numerous politicians in crimes happened long ago.\neven d.trump is believed to be involved.\n\nvoting to pass Epstein disclosure bill in 2025 is scheduled to the next week.\n\nlooking in the history, bipartisan ethical issues resolutions almast always got a majority of votes. even if the involved politicians were against.\n\nthe House consists of 435 members where 50% republicans, 50% democrats.\nto pass the resolution only >50,0001% of votes are required.\n\nbut keep in mind, there's pressure from trump on house, both personal and public.\n\nI'm sure that 90% odds for yes are correct.\n\nthe community is already speaking loud abt Epstein disclosure bill.\nno any chance that over 50% of house members are involved into those crimes.\n\nbut how many votes there will be for yes?\n\nas it seemed, the outcomes upper ~220 'yes voters' are making sense.\n\nyou only need to shorten the range if you'd like to take more risks, and more potential profit.\n\ncurrent odds are starting from 5¢ per share, what gives you 20x potential payout.\n\nso we got there:\n\nyes, the bill will be disclosed https://t.co/OmZw7c2mlc\n\n220-270 range yes voters 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traders with up to 87% winrate.\n\npure whales and analysts who found an edge.\n\nmentioned best 4 here:\n\nI. eggforehead\n\npolymarket trader joined less then a month ago, already got $146k overall payout.\n\nthis guy predicts only eth price with avg 67% winrate.\n\nno random markets, no sports, just hedging with the market.\n\nperfect for eth believers: https://t.co/ajQHNX8KJ0\n\nII. justdance\n\nreal og right here with total $1.3million return.\n\ntrades only btc/eth/sol prices and had succeed enough to call him a smart one.\n\ngive a chance it could be a trading bot (9k overall trades), but nevertheless you have to learn from it.\n\ncrypto markets whale: https://t.co/9uXQEIWpa9\n\nIII. 1TickWonder2\n\ntrader with over 10k total predictions and 6figures return.\n\ntrades spot prices and events with average 140% payout.\n\ninteresting that this wallet often enters at the lowest, any suggestions abt his strategy?\n\nhis profile: https://t.co/89kM7emvWA\n\nIV. 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