Aaron is a sharp-minded actuary and co-founder of Kalshinomics, specializing in prediction markets with a passion for data-driven storytelling. With over 3,000 tweets, he breaks down complex market information into insightful analysis and practical tools for traders. His feed combines professional expertise with a drive to educate and innovate in the world of financial risk and prediction markets.
Aaron’s tweets crunch numbers like a supercomputer, but sometimes his feed reads like a relentless actuarial exam—your followers might need a coffee IV drip just to keep up with the jargon tsunami!
Aaron’s biggest win is successfully launching Kalshinomics, not only creating a powerful data tool but also cultivating a niche community of traders excited to beta test and grow with his vision.
Aaron's life purpose revolves around making sense of uncertainty by harnessing data and analytics to empower traders and the broader financial community. He aims to demystify prediction markets and provide accessible tools that enable smarter decisions and better risk management.
He values intellectual rigor, transparency, and the power of data as the key to cutting through the noise. Aaron believes that well-analyzed prediction markets can foster informed discussions and create more resilient economic systems.
His strengths lie in deep analytical skills, clear communication of complex concepts, and innovative product development focused on user needs in the prediction market space.
Aaron's intense focus on analytics and data sometimes comes at the cost of broader audience engagement, potentially making his highly technical content less accessible to casual followers.
To grow his audience on X, Aaron should mix his in-depth analysis with more engaging storytelling and simplified threads that invite participation and questions, plus leverage influencer collaborations to widen his reach beyond hardcore prediction market enthusiasts.
Fun fact: Aaron co-founded Kalshinomics, a platform designed specifically as the kind of user-friendly, fast, and scannable tool he wished existed for traders like himself and his brother.
it’s wild that @MyriadMarkets has $ASTER priced at 39.7% to 2x in a month
at a $2 price, that’s $1.59 of “yes” value baked in (39.7% × $4)
which means if it doesn’t hit $4, the implied fair value is only $0.41
been messing with these @Kalshi yearly high markets - simple yes/no if btc ever tags a level
sample setup (with spot): long 1 btc @ 109k + short 40k “≥130k yes” @ 55¢ → +22k premium
no touch = +22k
touch 130k & sell = +3k
only lose if btc nukes <87k without touching 130k
Thrilled to join Polymarket Analytics (@poly_data) as a Data Storyteller!
I’m looking forward to turning complex data into narrative-driven insights that make prediction markets more engaging and accessible. Let me know if there are any markets or topics you’d like to see explored!
it’s wild that @MyriadMarkets has $ASTER priced at 39.7% to 2x in a month
at a $2 price, that’s $1.59 of “yes” value baked in (39.7% × $4)
which means if it doesn’t hit $4, the implied fair value is only $0.41
man, since launching @kalshinomics this week and getting some traction, the inbox has been bombarded with 'boosted engagement' pitches. makes you wonder how much of X/CT is real vs fake
we’re here to build trust and grow organically, so please stop spamming us!
Tech/Photography/Cars 🇨🇳 🇨🇦
Look at every product on its own merits, no brand loyalty
X200 Ultra & X200 Pro/Sony a6700/Macbook Pro M4 Pro/Focal Clear MG
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They trust that well-informed communities can drive better outcomes and hold powerful actors accountable.","facts":"ProMint has executed over half a million trades with a 97.7% short bias and an impressive $122 million in PnL, showcasing an almost machine-like precision in trading. They also actively investigate and expose abuses of power and scams within decentralized prediction markets and Web3 projects.","strength":"Exceptional analytical skills paired with deep domain expertise in trading and decentralized finance. ProMint's ability to back claims with concrete data and to communicate complex scenarios clearly makes them a trusted voice in the investment community.","weakness":"Their deeply analytical and sometimes skeptical approach can come across as overly critical, potentially alienating followers who prefer more optimistic or light-hearted content. 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