Arian is a visionary investor diving headfirst into the future with pre-seed bets on cutting-edge tech like AR/VR, robotics, and AI. Formerly an AI/ML engineer at Meta, he now fuels innovation as a VC at EarthlingVC while staying fiercely passionate about Ferrari racing. His tweets reveal a sharp mind, blending deep tech expertise with bold investment instincts.
Arian’s tweets are like Ferrari engines—fast, loud, and guaranteed to leave many watching in the rearview mirror wondering if they missed the road to billions while stuck in traffic.
Making the strategic pivot from top AI engineer at Meta to founding a VC fund that targets the strangest and most promising pre-seed tech, positioning himself as a key player in shaping future technology landscapes.
To accelerate the next wave of groundbreaking technologies by funding and empowering visionary founders who dare to build the ‘weird stuff’ that will redefine our future.
Believes that true innovation comes from taking risks on unproven ideas and people, values deep technical knowledge combined with entrepreneurial grit, and holds fast to the idea that the bold disruptors—not the cautious—shape tomorrow’s world.
Relentless curiosity for emerging tech, strong expertise in AI/ML, fearless approach to risk-taking, and a unique ability to spot startups at their infancy with breakthrough potential.
Can sometimes undervalue the slower, steadier paths to success in favor of chasing moonshots; a high-risk appetite might mean missing out on solid, sustainable opportunities.
To grow his audience on X, Arian should share more behind-the-scenes stories of startup journeys and investment decision-making, balancing technical insights with relatable entrepreneur struggles. Engaging with founders’ content and amplifying under-the-radar startups would also deepen his ecosystem influence.
Fun fact: Arian made the leap from a 'life on easy mode' engineer at Meta to a high-stakes VC chasing a 10x return, proving he’s not just in it for the comfort zone but the adventure.
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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":12,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":21,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":20,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":20,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":39,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":34,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":47,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":13,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":53,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":126,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":13,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":4,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":6,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":4,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":11,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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stuff and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":367,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":164,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik 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LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":221,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":479,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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stuff and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":62951,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":14523,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik 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LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":31931,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":43291,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Engaging interactively in replies and sharing bite-sized SEO tips will make his expertise more approachable and build a loyal community eager to learn and share."},"created":1763488002176,"type":"the entrepreneur","id":"noahiglerseo"},{"user":{"id":"78048339","name":"Doug McLaulin","description":"Chief Revenue Officer @eMeals | SaaS Growth & Marketing Strategist | Transforming insights into revenue | Passionate about scaling companies","followers_count":590,"friends_count":362,"statuses_count":3089,"profile_image_url_https":"https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1902816806126985216/4rfMjSXI_normal.jpg","screen_name":"dmclaulin","location":"Birmingham, AL","entities":{"description":{"urls":[]}}},"details":{"type":"The Entrepreneur","description":"Doug McLaulin is a driven SaaS growth and marketing strategist who thrives on transforming insights into tangible revenue. 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lmao","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1496190883527630857","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1980389751325860035","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-10-22","value":33,"startTime":1761004800000,"endTime":1761091200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,227],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1980681018982924543","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/7wkTjINtJr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/skbjml/status/1980681018982924543","display":"x.com/skbjml/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1980696035933708344","view_count":18829,"bookmark_count":74,"created_at":1761069709000,"favorite_count":165,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":10,"retweet_count":5,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1980696035933708344","full_text":"Fundraising is a game of momentum (often uncorrelated with business momentum — stupid imo but it is what it is). It’s a non-deterministic process, and a lot success just rides on meeting the right investor at the right time imo","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,268],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1980698361771512046","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/irbZmWUyax","expanded":"https://twitter.com/gbmolch/status/1980698361771512046","display":"x.com/gbmolch/status…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1980707095407423501","view_count":17848,"bookmark_count":72,"created_at":1761072345000,"favorite_count":177,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":17,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1980707095407423501","full_text":"Simple things you control to increase your luck in fundraising:\n\n- Run a streamlined process with VCs (e.g. clean material, line-up meetings in short time window etc)\n- Build in public (if a VC has seen you on X, it usually helps)\n- Don’t waste time waiting for a lead","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,139],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1980734899150524418","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/t7FoZLElvN","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hadley/status/1980734899150524418","display":"x.com/hadley/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1980767559126249764","view_count":5873,"bookmark_count":10,"created_at":1761086761000,"favorite_count":79,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":6,"retweet_count":6,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1980767559126249764","full_text":"Hard agree. \n\nThis is why I generally seek to blame VCs first for bad founder behaviors and/or frothy/borderline fraudulent market dynamics","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-10-23","value":0,"startTime":1761091200000,"endTime":1761177600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,288],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1980186299794411560","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/jNR6uWgb1E","expanded":"https://twitter.com/prithvir12/status/1980186299794411560","display":"x.com/prithvir12/sta…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1981019816988135629","view_count":366,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1761146904000,"favorite_count":4,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1981019816988135629","full_text":"Yes, but:\n\n> I’ve heard *many* investors recently express the same concerns Karpathy eloquently lays out (i.e. it’s not a “new” pov)\n> But, AI is a great sector rn to *move* a lot of capital \n> Most big money managers are incentivized to *move* money vs compound it\n\n= status 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":12,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":21,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":20,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":20,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":39,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":34,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":47,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":13,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":53,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":126,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":13,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":4,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"15389118","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987978700638613815","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-12","value":6,"startTime":1762819200000,"endTime":1762905600000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,142],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988210337623990290","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/fC9kyZEH3F","expanded":"https://twitter.com/ft/status/1988210337623990290","display":"x.com/ft/status/1988…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988259624647094361","view_count":8128,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762873009000,"favorite_count":76,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988259624647094361","full_text":"Historic fumble by Meta \n\nFairly certain the idiotic re-orgs that took power away from research (i.e. LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":4,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":11,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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stuff and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":367,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":164,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik 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LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":221,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":479,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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Everything felt pretty responsible until a few weeks ago for me","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"2664407965","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986596924687065194","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[13,261],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"348197129","name":"Jen Zhu","screen_name":"jenzhuscott","indices":[0,12]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"jenzhuscott","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1986809322521698742","view_count":2468,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762527230000,"favorite_count":17,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986621795781517594","full_text":"@jenzhuscott In technical terms, yes, but I think this take underestimates 1) how irrational the public markets are (and how they'd respond to OAI collapsing) and 2) the downstream impact of public markets collapsing 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stuff and made a ton of investing mistakes on my own dime before raising LP money\n\n(fully expecting to be roasted by all the naturally-talented “great pickers” for this take)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,134],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1238615498754949120","name":"Peter Walker","screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"PeterJ_Walker","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987179548082119082","view_count":339,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762615498000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1986977687844553113","full_text":"@PeterJ_Walker Do you have a quarterly breakdown of this (i.e. I’m curious if the avg/median has gone up or down throughout the year)?","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1238615498754949120","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1986977687844553113","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-10","value":62951,"startTime":1762646400000,"endTime":1762732800000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,200],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/A2GK7vN5Pr","expanded":"https://twitter.com/hthieblot/status/1987356139437301829","display":"x.com/hthieblot/stat…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987361412331475012","view_count":57877,"bookmark_count":33,"created_at":1762658858000,"favorite_count":350,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":13,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987361412331475012","full_text":"Startup city ranking that shouldn’t trigger anyone:\n\nS: Wherever you have access to your customers, wherever you have a unique edge in recruiting the best talent \n\n(big gap)\n\nD: anywhere else\nF: Dubai","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,28],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987356764245729776","view_count":4483,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762657750000,"favorite_count":14,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Zurich is missing","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[11,41],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9085062","name":"Hubert Thieblot","screen_name":"hthieblot","indices":[0,10]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"hthieblot","lang":"lt","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987359859273044435","view_count":591,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762658488000,"favorite_count":3,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987356139437301829","full_text":"@hthieblot Also Dubai is F. D is generous","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9085062","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1987356139437301829","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-11","value":14523,"startTime":1762732800000,"endTime":1762819200000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,280],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987705104200290807","view_count":2760,"bookmark_count":11,"created_at":1762740801000,"favorite_count":57,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":12,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987705104200290807","full_text":"I’ve noticed a trend that with the emergence of many more robotics startups (and VC interest in them), a lot of founders feel pushed to pick a market that they can validate quickly/cheaply, which then pivots them away from solving actually hard/diligent problems\n\nNot sure if good","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,279],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987167402539286660","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/rjU4K749RT","expanded":"https://twitter.com/harrystebbings/status/1987167402539286660","display":"x.com/harrystebbings…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1987869400221745207","view_count":11647,"bookmark_count":36,"created_at":1762779972000,"favorite_count":107,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":8,"retweet_count":4,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987869400221745207","full_text":"Consistent investor updates are also low-risk, high upside fundraising strategy\n\nE.g. when you pitch your pre-seed round, you will meet a lot of VCs that will track you for your Seed/A. Updates are a passive way to keep momentum for your next round (and maybe even get preempted)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,277],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1987873343975096491","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/HzWy0Zm0C5","expanded":"https://twitter.com/StockSavvyShay/status/1987873343975096491","display":"x.com/StockSavvyShay…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988001222368894977","view_count":43,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762811401000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988001222368894977","full_text":"The market demand to liquidize illiquid company shares isn't just from retail:\n\nOn the other side, with IPOs collapsing, VCs are resorting to selling secondaries to exit their positions. My guess is soon platforms like AngelList open some marketplace to trade private co shares","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[7,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"15389118","name":"Chris Paik","screen_name":"cpaik","indices":[0,6]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"cpaik","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988010421903888555","view_count":73,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762813594000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1987978700638613815","full_text":"@cpaik 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LeCun) accelerated the decision to leave","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,274],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":true,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988312128567341406","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/nQ6QoATSRP","expanded":"https://twitter.com/wquist/status/1988312128567341406","display":"x.com/wquist/status/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988332413995675771","view_count":10087,"bookmark_count":6,"created_at":1762890363000,"favorite_count":49,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988332413995675771","full_text":"Correct\n\nI had to raise Fund I in the toughest fundraising market this millennium for new managers after the exuberance with crypto (spurred on by big firms) went off the cliff in 2022\n\nI suspect I’ll have a tough time raising Fund II (despite being committed to discipline)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,278],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988332413995675771","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/zRzL4Oke13","expanded":"https://twitter.com/arian_ghashghai/status/1988332413995675771","display":"x.com/arian_ghashgha…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988334127461159031","view_count":1250,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762890772000,"favorite_count":11,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988334127461159031","full_text":"This is also why I explicitly express my displeasure at the excess and exuberance in private and public markets (esp wrt AI)\n\nIf and when things go south, I already know *I* will be among the firms to feel the suck (LP pullback from emerging firms) vs those actually responsible","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[16,60],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1430070528996376579","name":"Sherry Jiang","screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","indices":[0,15]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"SherryYanJiang","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988280644489953668","view_count":197,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762878020000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988276532360733046","full_text":"@SherryYanJiang evidently I'm in the 5% that agrees with you","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1430070528996376579","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988276532360733046","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,18],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"und","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988297930005184548","view_count":0,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762882141000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988287602131431735","full_text":"@MartinGTobias Yes","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988287602131431735","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[9,10],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"9606812","name":"first check $500k-1M pre-seed","screen_name":"ajhodls","indices":[0,8]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"ajhodls","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988382528751989182","view_count":425,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762902311000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988356188497711375","full_text":"@ajhodls 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"9606812","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988356188497711375","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[23,246],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1388236590049206272","name":"Amy Wu Martin","screen_name":"amywumartin","indices":[0,12]},{"id_str":"107238136","name":"Duolingo","screen_name":"duolingo","indices":[13,22]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"amywumartin","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988394063880753550","view_count":5912,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762905062000,"favorite_count":25,"quote_count":1,"reply_count":7,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988390162829652248","full_text":"@amywumartin @duolingo also tangentially, imo the crowd that shouts “machine translation will make language learning obsolete” are usually monolinguals that haven’t ever felt the human connection of speaking to someone else in their native tongue","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"1388236590049206272","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988390162829652248","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-13","value":31931,"startTime":1762905600000,"endTime":1762992000000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,269],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"1633568538563600386","name":"Earthling VC","screen_name":"EarthlingVC","indices":[5,17]}]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988428158677483667","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/4msEgOQfUM","expanded":"https://twitter.com/erica_wenger/status/1988428158677483667","display":"x.com/erica_wenger/s…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988620550906740852","view_count":21636,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762959060000,"favorite_count":108,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":11,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988620550906740852","full_text":"I'm (@EarthlingVC) taking the opposite side of this\n\nWith current market conditions (palpable frothiness everywhere, probably in part due to the urgency Erica mentions) I'm shutting everything down until Thanksgiving. Will return to the market when everyone is sleeping","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,289],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","quoted_status_id_str":"1988589805887008778","quoted_status_permalink":{"url":"https://t.co/2qHFsNOAKv","expanded":"https://twitter.com/richardchen39/status/1988589805887008778","display":"x.com/richardchen39/…"},"retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618028930461888","view_count":9169,"bookmark_count":26,"created_at":1762958459000,"favorite_count":94,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":5,"retweet_count":2,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"Generally I also advise founders not to ask for intros from VCs that passed on them; however I've invested in deals referred by big *downstream* VCs that passed:\n\n> round too early / too small \n> too much market risk (i.e. \"weird\" startup)\n> long-term capital requirements unclear","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":1,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,272],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988696519881683152","view_count":528,"bookmark_count":1,"created_at":1762977173000,"favorite_count":12,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":3,"retweet_count":1,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988696519881683152","full_text":"imo the indicator #1 there's an AI bubble is not quantitative\n\nit's the prevailing layman sentiment that any substantive skepticism of current market dynamics (even when holding a long-term bullish view on AI) should be viscerally discredited\n\nhealthy market don't do this","in_reply_to_user_id_str":null,"in_reply_to_status_id_str":null,"is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,267],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"arian_ghashghai","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988618554212548655","view_count":429,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762958584000,"favorite_count":6,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":1,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"and for those wondering: from my sample size these deals haven't really done much better or worse than the ones said VCs also ended up investing in themselves \n(imo co-investor signal isn't an indicator of future success, despite prevailing sentiment of the contrary)","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"868664951547854848","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988618028930461888","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[15,30],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"6781512","name":"Martin Tobias (Pre-Seed VC)","screen_name":"MartinGTobias","indices":[0,14]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"MartinGTobias","lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988667161758621731","view_count":49,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762970173000,"favorite_count":1,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988618028930461888","full_text":"@MartinGTobias This is the way","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"6781512","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988663696189714508","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null},{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[8,9],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[{"id_str":"40014904","name":"Will Quist","screen_name":"wquist","indices":[0,7]}]},"favorited":false,"in_reply_to_screen_name":"wquist","lang":"qme","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988681292079329571","view_count":120,"bookmark_count":0,"created_at":1762973542000,"favorite_count":0,"quote_count":0,"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":0,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988678821873389665","full_text":"@wquist 🎯","in_reply_to_user_id_str":"40014904","in_reply_to_status_id_str":"1988678821873389665","is_quote_status":0,"is_ai":null,"ai_score":null}]},{"label":"2025-11-14","value":43291,"startTime":1762992000000,"endTime":1763078400000,"tweets":[{"bookmarked":false,"display_text_range":[0,167],"entities":{"hashtags":[],"symbols":[],"timestamps":[],"urls":[],"user_mentions":[]},"favorited":false,"lang":"en","retweeted":false,"fact_check":null,"id":"1988987035416236523","view_count":25446,"bookmark_count":93,"created_at":1763046437000,"favorite_count":312,"quote_count":2,"reply_count":27,"retweet_count":7,"user_id_str":"868664951547854848","conversation_id_str":"1988987035416236523","full_text":"Summary of current VC round dynamics:\n\nFounder: \"We're looking to raise $2M\" \n\nVC (after first meeting): \"Would $5M on $30M post suffice?\"\n\nFounders, secure your 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