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Huge congratulations to my wife on graduating today as a Doctor of Medicine (MD)! It’s been an incredible 3 years in Cincinnati — full of growth, hard work, and unforgettable memories. Next stop: Indianapolis, where she’ll begin her fellowship in Endocrinology. Proud is an understatement.

Stan Weinstein’s Checklist

Make sure your position sizing late in the trend is always smaller than what it would be early in the cycle. A lot of traders mess this up — they go big when everything’s flying, thinking they’ve got the Midas touch, only to round-trip gains or worse. Euphoria kicks in, the market feels “easy,” and they size up just as risk is actually increasing. The right approach? Size heavy early in the cycle when the risk/reward is most favorable. Scale back late, when the gains have already played out and the easy money’s behind. This is where traders who’ve made progress end up giving a big chunk back — not because their picks were bad, but because their sizing didn’t match the phase of the market. So as we push deeper into this markup phase, be aware of where we are in the cycle. Don’t confuse momentum for opportunity this late in the cycle. The smart money was in early.

Mark Minervini Position Sizing Rules 1. Risk no more than 1.25% to 2.50% of total equity per trade 2. Limit stop-losses to a maximum of 10% 3. Average losses should not exceed 5%-6% per trade 4. Never allocate more than 50% of your portfolio to a single position 5. Aim for 20%-25% position sizes in your top-performing stocks 6. Hold no more than 4-8 stocks for smaller portfolios, or up to 10-12 stocks for larger ones 7. Concentrate capital in the best names and rotate out of underperformers 8. Start with "pilot buys" (small initial positions) and increase size only when trades show favorable performance 9. Let profits finance increased exposure rather than risking initial capital aggressively 10. Maintain progressive exposure—trade smaller when trading poorly, larger when trading well 11. Avoid excessive diversification -- focus on the best opportunities to achieve superperformance 12. Balance position size with stop-loss placement to account for stock volatility while containing risk. This process is called "backing into risk" 13. Reallocate capital from stagnant positions to stronger candidates 14. Use a garden analogy -- nurture winners and remove underperformers to optimize portfolio growth

What we’re seeing right now is classic markup phase behavior. Risk appetite has gone up dramatically. Money is flowing into laggards, low-quality names and even stocks with questionable fundamentals — because everything is going up. And when that happens, traders start convincing themselves that anything they own is the next Nvidia. That’s when it’s time to zoom out and check yourself. Yes, we’re in a very forgiving tape. But there’s a difference between stocks that are going up because the market is strong…and stocks that are going up because they are leaders. The leaders give you cushion. They give you time. They let you make mistakes and still come out ahead. The laggards? The ones that are riding the wave? Those will rug you the moment momentum fades. So you better have an exit plan when you’re just dating a stock — when you know it’s not high quality, when you’re only in it for the quick 20-25%. That’s fine, but treat it for what it is. Don’t marry it. And don’t treat all your positions the same. You need to know which stocks are: • Core positions worth holding through pullbacks and bases • Performance boosters for fast gains and fast exits If you confuse those? You’ll either hold the wrong stocks too long or sell the right ones too early. This kind of environment can be dangerous because it convinces everyone they’re a genius. Stocks with $50M in revenue are getting priced like they’ll be the next billion-dollar company. We’ve seen this movie before. Remember: 80% of current leaders will decline 80% or more in the next bear. So don’t get high off the gains. Stay grounded. Stay real. And most importantly — stay aware of what stage of the market cycle we’re in. When you think in terms of cycles, you protect yourself from fantasy. Now is the time to prepare for what comes after this phase.

5 Setups To Master 1. Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) • Identify stocks forming tight consolidations with progressively smaller price swings. • Look for a reduction in volatility within the base, indicating accumulation by institutions. • Enter when the stock breaks out of the base, ideally with increased volume. • Manage risk by setting stops below recent tight consolidations or prior pivot lows. 2. Pradeep Bonde - Episodic Pivots (EP) • Focus on stocks with significant catalysts, such as strong earnings or guidance surprises. • Enter on the day of the catalyst if the stock shows strength and gaps up significantly. • Monitor for follow-through in subsequent days; avoid if gains are exhausted on Day 1. • Use back-to-back quarters of sales growth above 39% as a strong EP signal. 💪 Similar to the HV Edge (HVE, HVIPO, HV1, HVLE) 3. Oliver Kell - Wedge Pop • Look for stocks extended down into key support levels, such as the 200-day moving average. • Wait for a reduction in volatility and tight price action near support. • Enter on the breakout (or “pop”) through the 20-day moving average, confirming the reversal. • Manage risk with stops below the inside bar low or the 20-day moving average. 4. Jason Shapiro - News Failure • Watch for heavily crowded positions based on commitment of traders (COT) data. • Look for unexpected market behavior (e.g., price not reacting to anticipated news). • Enter contrarian trades when crowd expectations fail to drive the expected price move. • Exit when the crowded positioning unwinds and returns to neutral. 5. Leif Soreide - High Tight Flag • Identify stocks with explosive moves of 90-100% in eight weeks or less. • Ensure the correction is no more than 25% with tight consolidation and minimal supply. • Enter when the stock breaks out of the flag with volume confirming the move. • Use the relative strength line and sales growth metrics to validate the setup.

David Ryan Buy & Sell Rules 1. Buy stocks making new highs 2. Avoid stocks priced under $10 3. Select stocks with prior strong price moves (e.g., doubled or tripled) 4. Prioritize stocks with strong fundamentals and technicals 5. Buy breakouts confirmed by high volume 6. Cut losses at 7% or less 7. Reduce position by 50% if a stock reenters its base after a breakout 8. Hold top-performing stocks for 6–12 months 9. Hold average-performing stocks for around three months 10.Sell losing stocks within two weeks 11. Keep a trader’s journal to analyze mistakes

Aanya is growing up too fast! It’s been the best summer ever. 10 months old already. 🙏🏼 ❤️

The past 12 months have been incredible — the best since the COVID rally. Corrective phases in the market and waiting for the Market Cycle to turn positive have been a game changer for my process as they’ve allowed me to be patient and wait for the right moments to size up.

"The big secret to this business is losing the least amount when you're wrong." - William O'Neil

Great day yesterday celebrating Diwali — the Festival of Lights 💥🎇 Always good to step away from the screens, be present and celebrate with family & friends. Wishing everyone health, happiness, and a profitable rest of the year 🙏

The Market Cycle count is now at +44 days, marking the longest rally since July 2024. The S&P 500 and the $QQQ are closing at all-time highs, fully recovering from the earlier tariff-induced correction. Once again, the recovery was V-shaped, just like most sharp reversals in strong bull phases. For the past few weeks, a lot of traders have been calling for a pullback or some form of consolidation. But the market has continued to grind higher, ignoring those expectations. No pullback, no meaningful rest — just a steady rally. That tells you everything you need to know. Historically, when a cycle this strong finally slows down, it tends to happen in one of two ways. First, a news-driven event that triggers a sudden shift in sentiment. Second, a parabolic blow-off in a popular, news-sensitive sector — that kind of euphoria distorts risk-reward and usually leads to some kind of reset. But we haven’t seen either of those yet. This rally has room. We’ve had market cycles last 55 to 65 days before, and this one looks like one of the strongest since mid-2024. So instead of anticipating the end or getting paranoid about what could go wrong, focus on what’s actually happening — and what price is telling you. We’re still seeing rising 10-day, 21-day, and 50-day moving averages. They’re acting as support. Leaders are holding up. The trend is intact. The last 44 days have been some of the best since 2020, and the broader market has been cooperative for nearly two years now. Keep it simple. Follow your system. Monitor your own positions. Don’t trade off opinions — especially from people who aren’t trading your account. Price is the only opinion that matters, and right now, price is heading higher. Stay process-driven. Stay focused. Let price lead.

Seeing a lot of market over-analysis lately, which is usually a symptom of not having a clear process. The Market Cycle Count is at +52 days — so for nearly 2 months, this has been a trending, bullish market. 10-day, 21-day, and 50-day moving averages are all rising. No reason to doubt or “stay cautious.” Shakeouts are normal. They create demand, better entries and fuel skepticism — something every strong trend thrives on. We’re seeing healthy rotation: oilers, biotech, homebuilders, solar showing life. Semis like $NVDA continue to lead. Even crypto is back in motion with Bitcoin reclaiming highs. While one segment of the market consolidates, another picks up. That’s a strong sign: money isn’t leaving, it’s rotating. Most traders struggle during these cycles because they aren’t holding leaders or don’t have a system to stay in the trend. And when you don’t have those positions, it’s hard to stay bullish. 52 days in, and I still see people waiting for the top, trying to be clever. Meanwhile, the weekly/monthly closing ranges are some of the strongest this year. Final thought: Everything ends on a sour note eventually. All your big winners will pull back or stop you out. That’s part of it. The goal isn’t to nail tops and bottoms — it’s to sit through the middle of the move and maximize the bulk of the trend. Stay with the process. Don’t overthink. The market’s been giving more than it’s been taking.

Huge congratulations to my wife on graduating today as a Doctor of Medicine (MD)! It’s been an incredible 3 years in Cincinnati — full of growth, hard work, and unforgettable memories. Next stop: Indianapolis, where she’ll begin her fellowship in Endocrinology. Proud is an understatement.

What are the top names you are watching at the moment?

How did you handle the volatility this morning?

What are your current positions in the market?

$TSLA is currently testing its 21-day moving average after moving off the lows with all two of the three key MAs — 10-day, 21-day and 50-day — in a rising trend. This is a key spot. It’s right where the pattern could start building out on the right side. The $360 area is what I’d mark as the upper pivot to watch. The next few days will be important — if price holds and firms up here, it could reset cleanly. If it breaks, we may see a deeper consolidation back toward the 300 zone. Watching the reaction closely.

Positions Watchlist is now integrated on the Home Screen. Quickly track your active names right from the dashboard 👉 no extra clicks. 📲More upgrades coming soon.

We’ve been working on a resource which charts all historical corrections in the market. Retweet and comment below if interested.

Today is my 32nd birthday and life feels absolutely amazing! 😇

The past 12 months have been incredible — the best since the COVID rally. Corrective phases in the market and waiting for the Market Cycle to turn positive have been a game changer for my process as they’ve allowed me to be patient and wait for the right moments to size up.

What we’re seeing right now is classic markup phase behavior. Risk appetite has gone up dramatically. Money is flowing into laggards, low-quality names and even stocks with questionable fundamentals — because everything is going up. And when that happens, traders start convincing themselves that anything they own is the next Nvidia. That’s when it’s time to zoom out and check yourself. Yes, we’re in a very forgiving tape. But there’s a difference between stocks that are going up because the market is strong…and stocks that are going up because they are leaders. The leaders give you cushion. They give you time. They let you make mistakes and still come out ahead. The laggards? The ones that are riding the wave? Those will rug you the moment momentum fades. So you better have an exit plan when you’re just dating a stock — when you know it’s not high quality, when you’re only in it for the quick 20-25%. That’s fine, but treat it for what it is. Don’t marry it. And don’t treat all your positions the same. You need to know which stocks are: • Core positions worth holding through pullbacks and bases • Performance boosters for fast gains and fast exits If you confuse those? You’ll either hold the wrong stocks too long or sell the right ones too early. This kind of environment can be dangerous because it convinces everyone they’re a genius. Stocks with $50M in revenue are getting priced like they’ll be the next billion-dollar company. We’ve seen this movie before. Remember: 80% of current leaders will decline 80% or more in the next bear. So don’t get high off the gains. Stay grounded. Stay real. And most importantly — stay aware of what stage of the market cycle we’re in. When you think in terms of cycles, you protect yourself from fantasy. Now is the time to prepare for what comes after this phase.

Looking to upgrade my desk setup — need a new monitor recommendation. Been running a 32" Samsung Smart Monitor for the last 4–5 years, but it's not great. What’s everyone using these days?

Make sure your position sizing late in the trend is always smaller than what it would be early in the cycle. A lot of traders mess this up — they go big when everything’s flying, thinking they’ve got the Midas touch, only to round-trip gains or worse. Euphoria kicks in, the market feels “easy,” and they size up just as risk is actually increasing. The right approach? Size heavy early in the cycle when the risk/reward is most favorable. Scale back late, when the gains have already played out and the easy money’s behind. This is where traders who’ve made progress end up giving a big chunk back — not because their picks were bad, but because their sizing didn’t match the phase of the market. So as we push deeper into this markup phase, be aware of where we are in the cycle. Don’t confuse momentum for opportunity this late in the cycle. The smart money was in early.

It’s been an incredible past year — easily the best since the Covid rally. At some point, we’ll get a correction. That’s just part of the game. But this market’s been very cooperative. What’s made the biggest difference for me personally is building out the Market Cycle concept inside my own process. It’s completely shifted how I approach risk, entries, and especially patience. When you know what part of the cycle you’re in, it’s way easier to hold strong names and not sell randomly just because something’s up 30%. The goal has always been to think in cycles not single trades.